NFL MVP Odds & Favorites 2025-26: Josh Allen's Quest to Repeat Alive and Well
Josh Allen opened the NFL's Week 3 with another strong performance to shorten his NFL MVP odds to +300. He remains the betting favorite over Lamar Jackson (+330) and Jordan Love (+800) in his quest to repeat as the award winner.
Allen's Buffalo Bills also lead the Super Bowl odds heading into the Week 3 Sunday slate. Jackson and his Baltimore Ravens will have a chance to impress on Monday Night Football against the Detroit Lions. Our NFL picks will have you covered.
NFL MVP odds 2025-26: Week 3
Live 2025-26 NFL MVP odds via our best sports betting apps; odds update in real time.
Week 3's biggest games
- I didn't think Josh Allen (+300) could do enough against the lowly Miami Dolphins to shorten his NFL MVP odds, but he did with a move from +325 to +300; he threw three touchdowns and had just six incompletions
- Jordan Love (+800) is in a similar position as Allen with an extremely favorable matchup against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday
- Jalen Hurts (+2000) and Matthew Stafford (+3500) meet head-to-head in Philadelphia as second-tier NFL MVP contenders; a road win by Los Angeles would improve Stafford's odds
- Justin Herbert (+800) could move the Los Angeles Chargers to 3-0 and further atop the AFC West with a home victory over the rival Denver Broncos
- Patrick Mahomes (+2000) is in the midst of his first professional three-game losing skid - dating back to the Super Bowl - but has a perfect get-right spot against the New York Giants
- Jared Goff (+6000) could enter the serious NFL MVP conversation with a strong performance against Jackson (+330) and the Ravens on Monday Night Football
NFL MVP betting favorite
Josh Allen (+300)
After a very impressive comeback victory over Jackson and the Ravens in Week 1, Allen is taking caring of business against a very favorable schedule stretch. The Bills have beaten the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, and have the New Orleans Saints at home next week, followed by the New England Patriots, also at home.
The next "test" for Allen will will be the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 9, and that's also at home. Buffalo has a serious chance to take an undefeated record into a Week 17 game against the Philadelphia Eagles, and that will also be at home.
My NFL MVP prediction
Jordan Love (+800)
Love completed 16 of 22 passes for a modest 188 yards but two touchdowns last week. Most importantly, his Packers beat the Lions by two touchdowns.
With Micah Parsons now anchoring an already-strong defense, Love should have to do less this year, but should still enjoy several big statistical performances that could fuel his MVP case. These odds have already dropped from north of 20-1, but a win on TNF will see him join the true award favorites.
NFL MVP opening odds
Here are the opening 2025-26 NFL MVP odds via DraftKings from Feb. 7.
- Lamar Jackson, +500
- Josh Allen, +550
- Patrick Mahomes, +750
- Joe Burrow, +750
- Jayden Daniels, +1000
- Justin Herbert, +2000
- Jordan Love, +2200
- C.J. Stroud, +2500
- Baker Mayfield, +2500
- Kyler Murray, +2500
- Jalen Hurts, +2500
- Caleb Williams, +2800
- Jared Goff, +2800
- Dak Prescott, +3000
- Brock Purdy, +3500
- Bo Nix, +3500
- Tua Tagovailoa, +4000
- Matthew Stafford, +4000
- Drake Maye, +4500
- Trevor Lawrence, +4500
- Aaron Rodgers, +5000
- Saquon Barkley, +6000
- Sam Darnold, +6000
- Michael Penix Jr., +6000
- Bryce Young, +7000
- Jahmyr Gibbs, +7500
- Derrick Henry, +10000
- Christian McCaffrey, +10000
- Cam Ward, +10000
- Russell Wilson, +10000
- Bijan Robinson, +10000
- Anthony Richardson, +10000
NFL MVP betting history
Here's a look at the last 10 NFL MVP winners, along with their preseason odds to win the award. The last four winners have all opened with shorter than 15/1 odds, which followed a three-year streak of long shots winning MVP honors.
| Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen, QB | Bills | +850 |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson, QB | Ravens | +1400 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes, QB | Chiefs | +800 |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers, QB | Packers | +1100 |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers, QB | Packers | +3000 |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson, QB | Ravens | +4000 |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes, QB | Chiefs | +3525 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady, QB | Patriots | +385 |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan, QB | Falcons | +7500 |
| 2015 | Cam Newton, QB | Panthers | +5200 |
NFL MVP FAQs
Who is favored to win NFL MVP?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (+300) is the new betting favorite by the latest NFL MVP odds, with his odds representing an implied win probability of 25%.
When will the 2025-26 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2025-26 NFL MVP will likely be announced on the Thursday ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl at NFL Honors.
Who was the NFL MVP last year?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen was crowned the NFL MVP for the first time after closing as the betting favorite in the regular season.
Who has the most NFL MVP awards in history?
Former quarterback Peyton Manning has won five NFL MVP awards. He captured four with the Indianapolis Colts (2003, 2004, 2008, 2009) and one with the Denver Broncos (2013).
Who was the last back-to-back MVP winner?
Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021.
Has anyone won consecutive MVPs more than once?
Peyton Manning won consecutive MVP awards twice, in 2003 and 2004 and again in 2008 and 2009.
Has anyone won three straight MVPs?
No player has won the MVP in three successive seasons.
NFL betting odds pages
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