NFL First Touchdown Scorer Predictions | Best 1st TD Picks for Christmas Day

My first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day are eyeing George Pickens, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Bo Nix.
Pictured: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver George Pickens celebrates a touchdown, and he's key to our. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kinser-Imagn Images
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

My NFL first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day are focusing on two premier wide receivers and a quarterback in an ideal matchup

It's all part of our NFL Week 17 predictions as we try to add to our festive fun while eyeing George Pickens, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Bo Nix.


🏈 NFL first touchdown scorer picks for every game on Christmas Day

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Game First TD pick Best odds Confidence
Cowboys vs. Commanders George Pickens, WR +800 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Lions vs. Vikings Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR +650 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Broncos vs. Chiefs Bo Nix, QB +1600 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐

🙌 Best NFL Christmas Day first touchdown scorer prediction

Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

George Pickens, WR, Cowboys (+800) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

George Pickens snapped out of a mini slump last week against the Los Angeles Chargers while recording his fifth game this season with 130-plus yards, and his ninth touchdown. He was connecting with Dak Prescott deep often while averaging 18.6 yards per grab.

He sits tied for sixth leaguewide in red-zone targets too (19). Now Pickens will take that volume and deep-ball effectiveness this season against a crumbling Washington Commanders defense that's tied for the sixth-most touchdowns given up to wide receivers (16)

Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions (+650) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Minnesota Vikings defense Amon-Ra St. Brown will face is stout against the pass while sitting third leaguewide in yards allowed per game. However, even the strength of that unit could have a hard time holding up if given poor field position early due to the play of Max Brosmer, who's replacing J.J. McCarthy under center. 

Brosmer threw four interceptions during his only other start this season. Another one early could easily give Brown, the Lions' red-zone target magnet (30, tied for second), a prime opportunity to capitalize.

Bo Nix, QB, Broncos (+1600) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is the route to a larger Christmas gift through the much longer odds compared to my other first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day.

Nix hasn't been busting out as a runner as often this season, though he's still logged three games with 30-plus yards. More importantly, his combination of speed and strength has contributed to four touchdowns as a ball-carrier. He'll now face a Kansas City Chiefs defense tied for the third-most rushing scores allowed to quarterbacks (five).

💡 More NFL predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game this season.


🚀 Best first touchdown scorer parlay for Christmas Day

See all of our NFL touchdown props for every big game this season.

💵 Best NFL first TD scorer parlay

  • George Pickens, WR, Cowboys: To score first TD vs. Commanders (+800) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions: To score first TD vs. Vikings (+650) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Bo Nix, QB, Broncos: To score first TD vs. Chiefs (+1600) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +114650 via DraftKings ($10 to win $11,475)


Subscribe to our brand-new SBR newsletter!
Subscribe to our brand-new SBR newsletter!

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)