First Touchdown Scorer Predictions | Best 1st TD Picks for Christmas Day
My NFL first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day are locking in on two top-tier wide receivers and a mobile quarterback in an appealing matchup.
It's all part of our NFL Week 17 predictions as we try to throw a few more gifts under the tree while focusing on George Pickens, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Bo Nix.
🏈 First touchdown scorer picks for every game on Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Game | First TD pick | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Commanders | George Pickens, WR | +800 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Lions vs. Vikings | Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR | +650 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | Bo Nix, QB | +1600 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
🙌 Best Christmas Day first touchdown scorer prediction
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George Pickens, WR, Cowboys (+800) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
George Pickens snapped out of a mini slump last week against the Los Angeles Chargers while recording his fifth game this season with 130-plus yards, and his ninth touchdown. He was connecting with Dak Prescott deep often while averaging 18.6 yards per grab.
He sits tied for sixth leaguewide in red-zone targets too (19). Now Pickens will take that volume and deep-ball effectiveness this season against a crumbling Washington Commanders defense that's tied for the sixth-most touchdowns given up to wide receivers (16).
Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions (+650) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Minnesota Vikings defense Amon-Ra St. Brown will face is stout against the pass while sitting third leaguewide in yards allowed per game. However, even the strength of that unit could have a hard time holding up if given poor field position early due to the play of Max Brosmer, who's replacing J.J. McCarthy under center.
Brosmer threw four interceptions during his only other start this season. Another one early could easily give Brown, the Lions' red-zone target magnet (30, tied for second), a prime opportunity to capitalize.
Bo Nix, QB, Broncos (+1600) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is the route to a larger Christmas gift through the much longer odds compared to my other first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day.
Nix hasn't been busting out as a runner as often this season, though he's still logged three games with 30-plus yards. More importantly, his combination of speed and strength has contributed to four touchdowns as a ball-carrier. He'll now face a Kansas City Chiefs defense tied for the third-most rushing scores allowed to quarterbacks (five).
💡 More NFL predictions
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🚀 Best first touchdown scorer parlay for Christmas Day
See all of our NFL touchdown props for every big game this season.
💵 Best NFL first TD scorer parlay
- George Pickens, WR, Cowboys: To score first TD vs. Commanders (+800) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions: To score first TD vs. Vikings (+650) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bo Nix, QB, Broncos: To score first TD vs. Chiefs (+1600) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +114650 via DraftKings ($10 to win $11,475)
🎁 More NFL expert picks for Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for Christmas Day and more.
- NFL Christmas Day predictions
- NFL player props for Christmas Day
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day
- NFL first touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day
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- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay for Christmas Day
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