Falcons vs. Colts Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for Week 10

My Falcons vs. Colts player props for this morning's game at Olympic Stadium in Berlin, Germany (9:30 a.m., NHL Network), feature Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor. 

The Colts are the 6.5-point betting favorite, and my picks below - part of the NFL Week 10 predictions - expect a less productive outing for Jones through the air. 

✅ Falcons vs. Colts player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.

💰 Best Falcons vs. Colts player props

⬇️ Daniel Jones player prop: Under 243.5 passing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The 3-5 Atlanta Falcons are not off to the start they likely hoped for, but if there’s a silver lining, it’s that the pass defense looks good. The Falcons lead the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (158.1) and rank seventh in yards allowed per pass attempt (6). The team’s aggressive defensive playcalling – the team leads the NFL in blitz rate (40.9%) – likely explains this trend.

Jones, who is among the most clutch QBs entering Week 10, comes into Sunday’s action averaging a career-high 267.1 passing yards per game, but I project him to stay well under that number versus this defense. While Jones has been accurate under pressure this year, his completion percentage when blitzed (57.9%) is below the league average and is well below his usual rate (69.6%). 

Let’s fade Jones on the passing yardage market by buying him to stay Under 243.5 passing yards for -112 (52.8%) at DraftKings to score an $8.93 profit on a $10 bet.

⬆️ Jonathan Taylor player prop: Longest reception Over 10.5 yards (-104) ⭐⭐⭐

While we’re fading Jones as a passer, running back Jonathan Taylor is a good target as a receiver – especially for a reception for longer than 11 yards. With Atlanta’s blitz rate in the 40% range, Taylor should be in an excellent position for successful screens or broken dump-offs.

For all of the Atlanta secondary’s success at limiting passing offenses, running backs have been a weakness. The Falcons give up 6.4 yards per reception and 29.5 receiving yards per game to running backs. Those data points make a wager on Taylor’s longest reception to be Over 10.5 yards.

Let's see a long reception from Jonathan Taylor and buy his longest reception Over 10.5 yards for -104 (50.98%) at FanDuel to score a $9.62 profit on a $10 bet.

Our Gary Pearson also broke down this game in his Falcons vs. Colts prediction.

6️⃣ Best Falcons vs. Colts touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Daniel Jones TD pick: anytime touchdown scorer (+290) ⭐⭐⭐

With the Falcons blitzing at such a high clip, don’t be surprised to see Daniel Jones scramble out of the pocket with some frequency on Sunday. While Jones is averaging only 10 rushing yards per game this season, that’s been enough for him to score five rushing touchdowns, good for a rate of about one every other game.

Atlanta has only given up one rushing score to a quarterback this year, but the 164 rushing yards they’ve allowed to the position through eight games suggest that more could be on the horizon. With Jones already having 11 red-zone carries to his name this year, lock him in to score a sixth touchdown for +290 (25.6%) for a $29 profit on a $10 bet.

Our Matt Jacob also broke down this game in his Falcons vs. Colts Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions.

📊 Falcons vs. Colts anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 10.

📺 How to watch Falcons vs. Colts

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
• Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. ET
• Location: Olympic Stadium (Berlin, Germany)
• TV: NFL Network

💡 NFL expert picks for Week 10

Follow all of our NFL analysis for Week 10 throughout the week.

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• NFL QB clutch player ratings Week 10
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