Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Opening Odds for Thursday Night Football: NFL Week 15
Last Updated: December 8, 2025 7:00 AM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
I've locked in the home betting favorite at an outlier number as I offer my Falcons vs. Buccaneers prediction for Thursday Night Football at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video).
The Buccaneers are the 4.5 to 5.5-point betting favorite as they attempt to take sole possession of first place in the NFC South. The analysis below is part of our NFL predictions for Week 15.
Early Falcons vs. Buccaneers prediction & betting preview
Stay ahead with the rest of our early NFL picks for Week 15.
Buccaneers -4.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Two teams enduring extended and precipitous slides meet on TNF, with the 7-6 Buccaneers still holding on to a share of first place in the NFC South with the Carolina Panthers. The Buccaneers have lost four of the previous five games and have struggled mightily at Raymond James Stadium, sporting a 1-5 ATS record.
While that doesn't inspire much confidence, they are playing a team ensnared in an even more severe downward spiral. The Falcons have lost seven of the last eight games, four of which by at least six points.
Kirk Cousins is 1-3 in games he has started, but should also be credited for the home loss to Carolina when he relieved the injured Michael Penix Jr. in the third quarter with the Falcons still leading.
Baker Mayfield and Co. didn't cover themselves in glory in Week 14, losing 24-20 to the bottom feeders of the division, the New Orleans Saints.
While it was an incredibly sloppy game, the Buccaneers had plenty of chances to win, with rookie Emeka Egbuka dropping what would have been a game-tying TD midway through the fourth quarter.
With so much on the line for the Buccaneers, I expect a bounce-back performance. DraftKings -115 odds imply a 53.49% probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $8.70.
💡 More Week 15 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 15.
Live Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds: Week 15
See the latest NFL odds for every game in Week 15.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers opening odds
- Moneyline: Falcons +180 | Buccaneers -220
- Spread: Falcons +5.5 (-115) | Buccaneers -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.4 (-110)
Falcons vs. Buccaneers line movement
Only one of the best sports betting sites (DraftKings) has the spread at 4.5 points, where the Buccaneers are receiving -115 odds. Those odds indicate the spread will increase to -5.5, falling in line with the rest of the best sports betting apps, which have the Buccaneers' odds ranging from -105 to -111.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers trends & betting notes: TNF
- Atlanta is 3-3 ATS on the road and 1-1 with Cousins under center in away games
- The Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS and 3-3 straight up at home
- The Falcons have won four of the previous six meetings with Tampa Bay
- Buccaneers offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs did not play in Week 14 against the Saints. His status for TNF is unknown
How to watch Falcons vs. Buccaneers: Thursday Night Football
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 11
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
- TV: Prime Video
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Gary Pearson X social