Drake Maye Player Prop Picks, Odds & SGP vs. Broncos for AFC Championship Game
My Drake Maye player props picks for today's AFC Championship Game at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver (3 p.m. ET, CBS) highlight what the sophomore QB is up against in the Broncos' elite defense.
The Patriots are the betting favorite, but their spread has decreased from 5.5 to 3.5 points in the lead-up to kickoff. While I'm backing the Patriots to win, I expect Maye to find life challenging in the pocket against the league's best pass rush. The picks below are part of the Conference Championship predictions.
🏈 Drake Maye player prop picks vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 225.5 passing yards | -112 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 0.5 interceptions | +100 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 28.5 rushing yards | -113 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Best Drake Maye player prop: Under 225.5 passing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game.
While the Broncos' pass defense isn't quite as elite as Houston's, there isn't enough of a difference to expect another result, especially with cold, potentially snowy conditions forecasted.
Maye had 179 passing yards in the Divisional Round, and while I expect him to eclipse that number, I don't think he'll surpass the total. I believe the Patriots will be ahead and emphasize the ground game late to control the clock.
Dustin Saracini also selected this pick in his player props for the Conference Championships, while Rob Paul brought up some points about Denver's pass rush in his 3 key matchups that will decide the Patriots vs. Broncos.
🔥 More Drake Maye prop picks
Drake Maye to throw at least one interception (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Maye threw an interception in both playoff games and will be in tough against a Denver team that picked off Josh Allen twice and ranked eighth overall in pass defense via DVOA in the regular season.
The sophomore QB will also be up against the weather, as snow is expected. He struggled to come to terms with those conditions against Houston last week.
Maye threw a pick in six of the 10 games to end the regular season, too. Tossing an interception would also contribute to the Broncos covering, which Saracini talks about in his Patriots vs. Broncos prediction.
Drake Maye Over 29.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
Denver's defense is all-swarming and had the most sacks (68) during the regular season. That should force Maye out of the pocket or make the second-year gunslinger step up to avoid the initial onslaught. With so much pressure, Maye will likely have to take matters into his own legs to make something from nothing.
Maye hit the Over on this total in one of the two previous playoff games and two of four to finish the regular season. The potentially snowy conditions should help Maye wrong-foot the defense when he's moving forward.
🚀 Drake Maye SGP vs. Broncos
See all of our NFL same-game parlay bets for every playoff game.
💵 Drake Maye same-game parlay picks
- Under 225.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over 0.5 interceptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over 29.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
Best SGP odds: +602 via FanDuel ($10 to win $60.21)
📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: CBS
🔮 Patriots vs. Broncos predictions
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
- AFC Championship odds
- How the Patriots win the Super Bowl
- How the Broncos win the Super Bowl
- Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds
- Jarrett Stidham compared to Nick Foles
- How do backup QBs fare in conference championship?
- Patriots vs. Broncos prediction
- Patriots vs. Broncos player props
- Patriots vs. Broncos key matchups
- Patriots vs. Broncos prediction market
- Patriots vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Patriots vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer predictions
- Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay
- Drake Maye player props
- Jarrett Stidham player props
- Patriots vs. Broncos weather report
- Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks
- AFC Championship Stats & Trends
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
