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Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills carries the ball against the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at Highmark Stadium on Dec. 17, 2022.
Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills carries the ball against the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at Highmark Stadium on Dec. 17, 2022. Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images/AFP

The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in what is expected to be the most lopsided game of Wild Card Weekend. Here are our Dolphins vs. Bills SGP NFL picks based on the top NFL odds.

Quarterback play is going to be a huge story in this one. The Dolphins will have Skylar Thompson, a quarterback who has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game, under center on Sunday, while the Bills will have Josh Allen, a quarterback who has cleared 200 yards in every game except three this season. 

While the Dolphins may have been intending to run the ball and control the clock in this game, they will also be without running back Raheem Mostert. With all the Dolphins’ injuries and the way the Bills have been playing, what are the safest bets when putting together a same-game parlay?

Here are our best Dolphins vs. Bills NFL SGP picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets, Dolphins vs. Bills picks, and Josh Allen player prop picks.

Dolphins vs. Bills SGP Picks Wild Card Weekend

Sbr Betting TicketParlay Three Picks

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds

SGP Predictions for Dolphins vs. Bills

Devin Singletary Over 49.5 rushing yards (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It would be truly shocking if the Bills weren’t playing from ahead for the majority of this contest. With Devin Singletary the preferred back for the Bills, that should mean that he sees a lot of carries in this one. On the season, he has rushed the ball 13 or more times in seven games. He has gone for 50 or more yards in five of those contests.

Singletary has only cracked 50 yards once in his last four games, but that also came when the Bills were comfortably beating the Chicago Bears. He has consistently out carried James Cook, and that should not change on Sunday.

Bills Over 30.5 points (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Bills’ offense is firing on all cylinders at the moment. The Bills have scored at least 32 points in three consecutive games, including when they played the Dolphins back in Week 15. It's unlikely that they take their foot off the gas pedal if they jump out to a huge lead, especially against a division foe.

The Dolphins’ defense hasn’t allowed a 30-point scoring team since they played the Bills, but that's more about their competition than their defensive play. In their last three games against playoff teams, they allowed at least 32 points twice.

Skylar Thompson longest passing play 45+ (+275) ⭐⭐⭐

Thompson’s career-long pass at this moment is 32 yards. Yet, what makes this such a valuable addition to the parlay is that for this to hit, he may only need to throw the ball five or six yards in the air.

Mike McDaniel will certainly draw up a game plan that is about getting his speedy wide receivers the ball quickly and letting them work their magic with yards after catch. It will almost certainly take Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle breaking one off a bubble screen or slant for this to hit but in this type of game, that isn’t that unlikely. Plus, if the Dolphins get down big, Thompson will be forcing passes deep downfield, and we’ve all seen his receivers make incredible plays on those types of balls.

Dolphins vs. Bills SGP picks made 01/15/2023 at 8:32 a.m. ET.

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