Cowboys vs. Raiders AI Picks: MNF Predictions & Best Bet for Monday Night Football Tonight

NFL Week 11 concludes tonight with the Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) taking on the host Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN), and our Cowboys vs. Raiders AI predictions expect the road favorites to prevail at Allegiant Stadium. We've trained the latest ChatGPT model to offer its exact score prediction and projected stat leaders for both teams, as well as its best MNF prop bet tonight.

🤖 Cowboys vs. Raiders AI predictions: Monday Night Football

See all of our NFL AI predictions with projected scores for every Week 11 game.

🔢 Cowboys projected stats

• Passing leader: Dak Prescott – 25/35, 267 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
• Rushing leader: Javonte Williams – 14 rushes, 63 yards
• Receiving leader: CeeDee Lamb – 8 receptions, 102 yards, 1 TD

🔢 Raiders projected stats

• Passing leader: Geno Smith – 22/33, 241 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
• Rushing leader: Ashton Jeanty – 15 rushes, 69 yards
• Receiving leader: Tyler Lockett – 7 receptions, 88 yards, 1 TD

🔮 Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction

Dallas enters this matchup with a renewed offensive balance that takes pressure off Dak Prescott. Expect the Cowboys to emphasize early-down rhythm throws and screens to CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, forcing Las Vegas’ corners into open-field tackling. The Cowboys’ pass rush should find success collapsing the pocket on third-and-longs.

For the Raiders, Geno Smith remains efficient on schemed looks, and Tyler Lockett's route precision gives him a chance to win in the slot, but sustaining long drives will be difficult against the Cowboys' pressure fronts. Dallas has the edge in trench play and red-zone efficiency, allowing it to control pace and hold off a late Raiders push.

Score prediction: Cowboys 27, Raiders 20

💰 Best player prop bet for Monday Night Football

See all of our experts' NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.

⬆️ CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 receptions

In the model’s projection, Lamb leads all Cowboys pass-catchers with 8 receptions for 102 yards and 1 touchdown — an output that aligns with his role and expected volume in this matchup. Dallas is built around Prescott’s timing in the passing game, and without a dominant power rushing attack, the Cowboys lean on Lamb as their primary chain-mover and explosive-play generator. Against a Raiders defense whose biggest vulnerability remains coverage depth, Lamb should find available windows on slants, crossers, and option routes.

The Raiders’ pressure rate is inconsistent, and when Prescott is kept clean (as the projections lean toward), he’s among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league targeting his WR1. While the yardage prop may feel volatile due to game flow, 7+ catches for Lamb is a bet on usage and Dallas' most consistent offensive identity — both of which the model strongly supports.

Best bet: CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 receptions (-118 via FanDuel)

👀 More Monday Night Football picks: Cowboys vs. Raiders 

📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs. Raiders

• Date: Monday, Nov. 17
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
• TV: ABC/ESPN

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