Chiefs vs. Jaguars Prediction: Monday Night Football Opening Odds & Early MNF Picks
My best Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction and early picks focus on the defensive strengths of both of these teams, ahead of their Week 5 Monday Night Football clash. The early odds have the Chiefs lined as a 3-point betting favorite ahead of kickoff from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla., at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN).
My NFL picks target the total, as these teams enter this week with the fourth and seventh-best scoring defenses in the league. A slight majority (59%) of early bets back the Over, but due to inconsistent offensive play, I expect the Under to be one of the best NFL predictions for Week 5.
🏈 Early Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction & best bet
Stay ahead with the rest of our early NFL predictions for Week 5.
⬇️ Under 45.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After defeating the Baltimore Ravens 37-20 in Week 4, the Chiefs have now held three consecutive opponents to 20 or fewer points, allowing just 19.0 points per game. While the offense finally clicked, scoring a season-high 37 against Baltimore, that speaks more to how bad the Ravens’ defense is rather than how good the Chiefs’ offense is.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars have held three of their four opponents to 21 or fewer. And while the offense is averaging 24.0 points per game, the third-ranked rushing attack will have a hard time against a run defense that just held Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson to 42 and 48 yards, respectively.
The best sports betting sites are offering Under 45.5 for -110. The price of -110 suggests a 52.38% chance the Under hits. A winning $10 bet would profit $9.09.
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📺️ How to watch Monday Night Football
Matchup: Chiefs vs. Jaguars
When: Monday, Oct. 6 @ 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Fla.)
TV: ABC/ESPN
📊 Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds: Monday Night Football
Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.
📈 Chiefs vs. Jaguars opening odds
- Moneyline: Chiefs -165 | Jaguars +140
- Spread: Chiefs -3 (-110) | Jaguars +3 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 (-110) | Under 45.5 (-110)
💡 Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds analysis
The Under 45.5 is my best play of this game, but I think you can wait to get in. The total opened at 44.5, and it has already risen to 45.5. With 59% of wagers backing the Over, this total could climb as high as 47 before the week ends.
The Chiefs opened as 3-point favorites, and after their dominant win over the Ravens, nearly three-quarters of bets are backing them to cover in this game. This spread will hit 3.5 or 4 at some point this week, so if you’re on the Jaguars, wait to wager.
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