Chiefs vs. Jaguars Best Bets & Expert Picks: MNF Player Props and Touchdown Predictions

The Kansas City Chiefs are back in the Super Bowl conversation after two straight wins, and they're back on prime time tonight, taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars for Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. Watch the game on ESPN and follow along with our Chiefs vs. Jaguars best bets and expert picks, with Kansas City the 3.5-point betting favorite and an Over/Under of 45.5 points.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars expert picks: Monday Night Football

NFL picks for Monday Night Football with pick confidence based on 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds for the best available price.

• Against the spread pick: Chiefs -3 (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop pick: Isiah Pacheco Under 29.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (+190 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• First touchdown prediction: Travis Hunter, WR (+1800 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Don't miss our Chiefs vs. Jaguars parlay for a chance at a +430 payday!

Best Chiefs vs. Jaguars picks for Monday Night Football

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

Best ATS pick: Chiefs -3 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's what our NFL expert Gary Pearson wrote about why he's betting the Chiefs to cover as the road favorite over the Jaguars:

"If you're into historical trends, you'll be all over the Chiefs' eight straight wins against Jacksonville, four of which were with Patrick Mahomes under center.

I'm more partial to the fact that Kansas City has been resembling the best version of itself over the last game and a half. 

While I'm not placing a ton of weight on their dominant home victory against a battered and bruised Baltimore Ravens team, I do put stock in the momentum and confidence the team gained from that comprehensive 37-20 triumph."

Gary dives more into why he's backing the Chiefs, along with his favorite player prop, in his Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction.

Best player prop pick: Isiah Pacheco Under 29.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL player props expert Phil Wood is backing Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco to fall short of his rushing yards line:

"Pacheco has rushed for at least 22 yards in every game this season. However, he's posted a season-high of just 45 yards, and that came against the Giants, a team allowing over 140 rushing yards per game. He managed just 35 yards during a blowout win against the Ravens’ fourth-worst run defense last week.

Now Pacheco faces a much tougher challenge, as the Jaguars are allowing the third-fewest rushing yards per contest (82.8). They’re giving up only 3.9 yards per carry, which will be highly problematic for Pacheco. He hasn’t been given more than 10 rush attempts in a game this season, finishing two appearances with seven or fewer."

Phil dives deeper into his outlook on Pacheco, and others, with his Chiefs vs. Jaguars player props.

Best touchdown scorer prediction: Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 

Here's why Esten McLaren is betting on Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce to score a touchdown against the Jaguars, after Taylor Swift's new album came out on Friday:

"Travis Kelce is still contributing to the Chiefs, and he caught five of five targets last week for 48 yards against a Baltimore Ravens team that is very susceptible to tight end production. Well, Kelce is in a similar spot on Monday Night Football against a Jaguars team allowing tight ends to catch 74.1% of their targets at a 7.37-yard average.

I'd also be lying if the release of Swift's new album, with the song 'Wood' believed by some Swifties to be about Kelce, isn't factoring into this anytime touchdown scorer prediction. He'll have a little extra fuel to his fire on prime time."

Esten also targets two pass-catchers with his Chiefs vs. Jaguars anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

Best first touchdown scorer prediction: Travis Hunter, WR ⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Sean Tomlinson is betting on Jaguars receiver Travis Hunter to score the first touchdown on Monday Night Football:

"The Jaguars are still in the early stages of trying to find a comfortable balance with their two-way dynamo after investing significant draft capital in Travis Hunter.

But after there was a slight lean toward defense and him being on the field as a defensive back earlier in the season, the pendulum swung hard in the other direction last week. Hunter played 38 offensive snaps and just nine defensively, which came after 43 snaps as a defender in each of the previous two weeks.

The Jaguars' tinkering and experimenting is one of the more significant hurdles in the way of Hunter truly making his mark as an NFL rookie. But a sudden lean toward offense hints at the team getting ready to loosen the leash on that side. He's shown flashes of the deep-ball brilliance we saw in college, including a 28-yard reception just last week."

Sean also breaks down his other favorite bets in his first touchdown scorer predictions.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars live odds

How to watch Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Jaguars

• When: Monday, Oct. 6
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Fla.)
• How to watch: ESPN