Bills vs. Texans Same-Game Parlay for Thursday Night Football: TNF Picks & SGP Odds

My Bills vs. Texans same-game parlay for Thursday Night Football highlights a potential rejuvenation for Nick Chubb in a favorable matchup for running backs.

Our TNF parlay also includes an explanation for why Dalton Schultz’s recent run of consistency could take a dip in this contest. Action for Bills vs. Texans kicks off from NRG Stadium in Houston at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). The Bills are a 5.5-point betting favorite as part of our NFL predictions for Week 12.

✅ Bills vs. Texans same-game parlay for Thursday Night Football

See all of our experts' NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.

💰 Best Thursday Night Football parlay picks & SGP bets

🚀 Dalton Schultz Under 4.5 receptions (-141) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Schultz has been a key piece of the Houston offense recently, particularly during the period that has seen Davis Mills serve as the Texans' starting quarterback. Schultz has three straight games with 6+ receptions.

We'll use that recent run of consistency to our advantage, as we don't anticipate that volume continuing on Thursday. The Bills have allowed just 25 receptions to tight ends all year (2.5 per game), the fewest in the NFL. Buffalo has not allowed a five-catch game to a tight end this season.

Our Gary Pearson backs the Texans to cover in a close game tonight in his Bills vs. Texans prediction.

🚀 Nick Chubb Over 22.5 rushing yards (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Buffalo is a favorable matchup for opposing rushing offenses, allowing 121.2 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs (second-most in the NFL). Chubb's rushing target could be a strong buy-low opportunity.

Chubb has drawn just eight combined carries over the past two games, but interestingly, he's averaged 8 YPC across those attempts. Against the soft Bills run defense, Chubb shouldn't need significant volume to cash this prop, even if his backup role to Woody Marks continues.

🚀 James Cook anytime TD scorer (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

James Cook has found the end zone in six of 10 games this season (60%) and has a 51.22% implied probability to score on Thursday night based on the -105 odds from DraftKings as part of our SGP.

The Texans have allowed nine total touchdowns to running backs through 10 games this season, permitting only six receiving scores to wideouts.

Meanwhile, our Matt Jacob is betting against Cook in his Bills vs. Texans player props, while Sean Tomlinson is targeting three other players in his first TD scorer predictions for TNF.

📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football: Bills vs. Texans

• Date: Thursday, Nov. 20
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: NRG Stadium (Houston)
• TV: Prime Video