Bills vs. Patriots Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 15
For today's marquee AFC East divisional clash, I'm featuring TreVeyon Henderson, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Dalton Kincaid in my Bills vs. Patriots player props today.
The Bils are the 1-point road betting favorite ahead of kickoff from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). The picks and analysis are part of our NFL Week 15 predictions.
🏈 Bills vs. Patriots player prop bets
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson, RB, Patriots | Over 45.5 rushing yards | -114 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Dalton Kincaid, TE, Bills | Over 3.5 receptions | +105 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots | Score a touchdown | +250 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Bills vs. Patriots best bet
Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
TreVeyon Henderson Over 45.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last week, Henderson received one fewer carry than Rhamondre Stevenson, but he was the much more effective back. He rushed for 67 yards, averaging 6.1 yards per carry, while Stevenson had just 40 yards and averaged 3.3.
Henderson has rushed for at least 55 yards in six consecutive games, three of which also included Stevenson. Earlier this season, when the Patriots faced the Bills, Henderson had only six carries but averaged 4.0 yards per carry, while Stevenson averaged just 2.0.
The Bills are allowing 135.2 yards per game (5th-worst) and 5.1 yards per carry (4th-worst). Even if Stevenson cuts into Henderson’s carries, getting this total this low in this matchup is too good to pass up. FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that the Over hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.
🔥 More Bills vs. Patriots prop picks
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 15.
Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions (+105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After missing three games, Kincaid returned last week to catch four of five targets for 41 yards and one touchdown. He now has at least four receptions in six of his nine games this season.
The Patriots have allowed 79 receptions to tight ends, which is tied for the seventh-most in the league. When Kincaid faced them earlier this season, he caught all six of his targets for 108 yards. The Patriots may adjust their defensive plan to shut down Kincaid, but despite his missing four games, he’s still third on the Bills in receptions and targets.
Some sportsbooks have this Over priced as high as -107. BetMGM’s price of +105 implies a 48.78% chance that this Ovr hits. A $10 bet would profit $10.50. Our Esten McLaren features Kincaid in his best Bills vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown (+250) ⭐⭐⭐
Stevenson has only scored three touchdowns this season, but two of those came against the Bills. The Bills have allowed 19 rushing touchdowns, which is the most in the league.
Though Henderson is only projected to have seven more rushing yards than Stevenson according to most of the best sports betting sites, the price for Henderson to score is -107 or worse at all of them. Considering that price, Stevenson at +250 is the most valuable of all the Bills vs. Patriots player props, especially when you consider that Henderson only has three more touchdowns than Stevenson despite playing three more games.
The bet365 price of +250 implies a 28.57% chance that Stevenson scores. A $10 bet would profit $25.
Our Mike Spector breaks down the game lines with his Bills vs. Patriots prediction for today's matchup.
📺 How to watch Bills vs. Patriots
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 14
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
- TV: CBS
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