Bills vs. Falcons Same Game Parlay for Monday Night Football: MNF Picks & SGP Odds
My Bills vs. Falcons same game parlay for Monday Night Football today anticipates a slower pace to the scoring than the 49.5-point total suggests.
Our MNF parlay fades a couple of prominent offensive contributors, as our NFL picks follow defensive trends. Our NFL predictions for Week 6 project Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson to struggle today.
The action for Bills vs. Falcons kicks off from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) today. The Bills are a 3.5-point betting favorite.
🏈 Bills vs. Falcons SGP for Monday Night Football
NFL parlay picks for Monday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Under 49.5 (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Kyle Pitts Under 3.5 receptions (+120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bijan Robinson Under 73.5 rushing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +525 via FanDuel ($10 to win $52.50)
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💰 Best Monday Night Football parlay picks
Here are my favorite Bills vs. Falcons picks based on the best Monday Night Football odds for the full parlay.
🚀 Under 49.5 (-104) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While the explosive Bills offense might seem like a recipe for Overs, Buffalo has seen two of its five games fall short of the 49.5-point total - and another two narrowly clear it with 50 and 52 total points, respectively.
Three of the Falcons’ four games this season have gone Under, also falling short of the 49.5-point total.
Atlanta and Buffalo rank first and second in the NFL, respectively, in pass defense. I predict a rugged game in which the pass defenses could limit the scoring output, especially considering Atlanta’s fifth-ranked third-down defense (34.09%) provides the potential to slow down Josh Allen.
🚀 Kyle Pitts Under 3.5 receptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Pitts has logged four or more receptions in all four games this season and is averaging 5.0 receptions per game. For that reason, it makes sense that he has plus-money odds to go Under 3.5 receptions today.
But we expect it to happen, as Buffalo has one of the stingiest defenses in the NFL against tight ends, allowing just 11 total receptions to the position in five games (2.2 receptions per game).
In fact, only the Falcons have allowed fewer catches to opposing tight ends this season than Buffalo, which means the matchup against the Bills is the toughest one Pitts could possibly see - other than facing his own defense in practice.
🚀 Bijan Robinson Under 73.5 rushing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Robinson has nearly as many receiving yards (270) as rushing yards (314) this season, meaning he doesn’t necessarily need a gaudy rushing total to have a productive day for the Falcons.
Aside from an outlier 143-yard rushing performance against the Vikings in Week 2, Robinson has not exceeded 75 rushing yards in a game. He has had outputs of 24, 72, and 75 yards, suggesting that falling short of this 73.5-yard rushing line is a real possibility.
Though the Bills allow 145.6 rushing yards per game, Buffalo held New England running backs to 59 yards and 3.1 yards per carry in last week’s Sunday night matchup, showing the unit is perhaps turning the corner after early-season woes.
💰 Monday Night Football SGP odds
Our parlay calculator shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football
- Matchup: Bills vs. Falcons
- Date: Monday, Oct. 13
- Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- TV: ESPN
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