Bills vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks Week 6: AFC Kingpins Clash with More Fireworks
The rematch of the greatest NFL playoff game in recent memory is finally here. Here are our Week 6 Bills-Chiefs same-game parlay picks.
With last year’s AFC Divisional Round thriller still fresh in our minds and warm on our hearts, are the Bills and Chiefs are ready to thrill us once again with more explosive offensive football?
Check out our NFL Week 6 best bets and all of our top picks, as well as our Bills-Chiefs preview.
Here are my same-game parlay picks for the Week 6 Sunday afternoon matchup between the Bills and Chiefs (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Bills vs. Chiefs Odds
Bills vs. Chiefs Same-Game Parlay Picks
Same-Game Parlay Predictions Bills vs. Chiefs
Over 53.5 (-115) ★★★
Kansas City and Buffalo rank No. 1 and No. 2, respectively, in points per game at 31.8 and 30.4 PPG. The Chiefs have had three of their five games this season clear 53.5 points. The Bills, with their quality defensive play all year, have not had one total clear this line despite scoring at least 31 points three times with a single-game high of 41 points in Week 2.
The one game Buffalo played against a truly elite offense was in a rainstorm in Baltimore. Both times the Bills and Chiefs matched up last season produced totals above this number. After a couple of troubling performances against the Los Angeles Chargers and Indianapolis Colts offensively, the Chiefs have definitively found their groove with a pair of 30-plus-point efforts in the last two weeks. We certainly know what the Bills can do in this matchup.
We want it so badly. It’s conceivable this is a sucker pick to kick off our parlay, but isn’t this the sort of game for which sports betting was invented? Give us the points, dang it!
Allen anytime touchdown scorer (+135) ★★★★
Bills receiver Gabe Davis scored four touchdowns the last time these two teams matched up. Receiver Stefon Diggs is also threat any time Buffalo gets near the red zone. But in this matchup against Kansas City, with revenge and the possibility of home-field advantage in this year’s playoffs front of mind, it feels like a game in which QB Josh Allen might be inclined to take matters into his own hands on at least one occasion.
Allen has scored rushing touchdowns in just two of five games this season, but he did it in games against marquee opponents (Los Angeles Rams and Baltimore Ravens), where it really felt like Buffalo needed to make a statement. To that end, Allen used his legs for 11 rushing attempts both times he faced Kansas City last season.
Though Allen didn’t score a rushing TD in the playoff game against Kansas City, he did find paydirt when the Bills won at Arrowhead Stadium last October. Allen should be plumb tired of facing Patrick Mahomes in this building. As such, he’ll do anything in his power to make sure January’s meeting takes place elsewhere, including putting his body on the line near the goal line in a potential tiebreaker battle for seeding.
Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (-125) ★★★★
Some weeks, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid draws up various goal-line tricks to get the Chiefs into the end zone. On other weeks, tight end Travis Kelce is the entire plan in the red zone. Last week against the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football was an example of the latter, with Kelce scoring four times from up close. He had just 25 yards on the night, but he got them where they counted.
At -125 odds, Kelce is marked as the most likely touchdown scorer in the Bills-Chiefs game according to the odds at DraftKings. In the absence of receiver Tyreek Hill, Mahomes has found other ways to to get down the field. But when you get into the red zone, that’s still Kelce’s bread and butter.
At the end of the game Monday night, Kelce was asked in an on-field interview how he consistently gets so open in the end zone when everybody in the stadium knows the ball is coming his way. Though No. 87 gave a more sheepish answer, the reality is that he’s just too big, too physical, and too savvy of a route-runner to be stopped. Having scored in four of five games this season, Kelce is a rock-solid bet again on Sunday.
Where to Bet on Bills vs. Chiefs Picks
Bills-Chiefs picks made 10/14/2022 at 4:34 p.m. ET.
