Bengals vs. Broncos Prediction: Odds & Expert Picks for Monday Night Football
The Denver Broncos host the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football, and my Bengals vs. Broncos prediction backs Sean Payton's team to put consecutive walk-off field-goal losses behind them emphatically.
The Broncos, the 7.5-point betting favorite (-110), should be bolstered by J.K. Dobbins, who features in my NFL picks.
Monday's game at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver starts at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's get into some of our NFL predictions for Week 4.
📊 Bengals vs. Broncos odds: Monday Night Football
Latest Monday Night Football odds updated live in real time.
📺️ How to watch Monday Night Football
When: Monday, Sept. 29
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
TV: ESPN
🏈 Bengals vs. Broncos predictions: Monday Night Football
NFL expert picks for Monday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Broncos -7.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 43.5 (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: J.K. Dobbins Over 61.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Bengals vs. Broncos expert pick for MNF
Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.
🐎 Broncos -7.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Until Jake Browning proves otherwise, I'm fading the Cincinnati Bengals' stand-in QB as part of our Bengals vs. Broncos prediction. Yes, he found a way to secure a comeback win in Week 2, but that was more down to the Jacksonville Jaguars' ineptitude.
Browning has tossed the most interceptions (5) in less than two games, and he got trounced 48-10 against the Minnesota Vikings last week in his first start of the season, where he threw two picks and was sacked three times.
Things won't get any easier for Browning in the Mile High City against a Broncos defense that is tied for the most sacks (12) and tied for the eighth-best EPA per play.
The Broncos defense also has the second-highest hurry percentage (14.5%), just in front of the Vikings' 14.3%, and the third-highest blitz rate (36%).
After losing two straight via walk-off field goals, the Broncos should have increased motivation to make things right at home, where they were 6-2 ATS last season and, if you made the bet early enough, started this campaign by covering against the Tennessee Titans.
While Bo Nix and Co. have struggled offensively, they have a golden opportunity for a get-right game against the Bengals' 22nd-ranked defense in terms of EPA per play.
There isn't much choice between the best sports betting sites, with BetMGM (-110) at the high end of the market and Caesars (-115) at the low end.
💰 Bengals vs. Broncos player prop bet for MNF
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ J.K.Dobbins Over 61.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dobbins has at least 63 rushing yards in every game this season, averaging 74. Minnesota Vikings running back Jordan Mason had a field day against the Bengals last week, accumulating 116 yards on 16 carries.
Cincinnati has the ninth-worst defensive rushing DVOA and allows 119 rushing yards per game. If the game script unfurls as I envision, the Broncos will be in control entering the fourth quarter.
That would provide Dobbins the opportunity to pad the stats. Of the best sports betting apps, BetMGM is the outlier, offering the lowest total (61.5 yards). Its -115 odds aren't overly juiced either, with Caesars at the low end of the market offering the highest total (65.5 yards) and the worst odds (-122).
A winning $10 bet will yield a profit of $8.70.
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