Bears vs. Commanders Prediction: Monday Night Football Opening Odds & Early MNF Picks
Let’s dive into our Bears vs. Commanders prediction for Monday Night Football with the opening odds now released as our NFL picks series continues. We’ll be looking at one early pick for the action, which is scheduled to get underway at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC) at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md.
The Commanders are currently a 4-point betting favorite for Monday’s game after opening at 4.5. Make sure to check out the rest of our NFL predictions for Week 6 so that you don’t miss out on any winning plays, including the below pick.
🏈 Early Bears vs. Commanders prediction & best bet
Stay ahead with the rest of our early NFL predictions for Week 6.
⬇️ Under 50.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
After opening at 50.5, most best sports betting sites have already dropped the total for the Bears vs. Commanders game to 50. You’ll even find a 49.5 out there, so you’re going to want to get in on the Under while the getting’s good. While both sides have impressive offenses led by savvy offensive minds, they both run at an above-average clip – 45.9% for Washington and 43.6% for Chicago – and they both have quarterbacks who are not afraid to scramble. Those factors can tick away precious seconds on the game clock.
A few key trends point to value here. While Jayden Daniels is an electric playmaker, the screen-heavy attack employed by offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury has limited his scoring upside. The Commanders are 3-0 to the Under with Daniels under center. While Chicago is off to a hot start and is 3-1 to the Over, 50.5 is the highest total posted for the Bears all season. It’s time to sell high on the Bears against the Commanders’ sturdy defensive line, which ranks third in run-stop win rate and 13th in pass-rush win rate.
It may be scary to fade two of the NFL’s best offensive minds, but this total is too lofty for us to avoid. I fully expect Kingsbury to exploit Chicago’s shaky defensive front, which ranks 29th in run-stop win rate, with a healthy load of rushing plays. The public is likely to expect a shootout between two of the league’s best young quarterbacks, so let’s fade them and buy the Under 50.5 for -115 (53.5%) at DraftKings to score an $8.70 profit on a $10 bet.
📺️ How to watch Monday Night Football
Matchup: Bears vs. Commanders
When: Monday, Oct. 13 @ 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
TV: ABC
📊 Bears vs. Commanders odds: Monday Night Football
Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.
📈 Bears vs. Commanders opening odds
- Moneyline: Bears +200 | Commanders -250
- Spread: Bears +4.5 (-110) | Commanders -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)
💡 Bears vs. Commanders odds analysis
The Bears vs. Commanders spread opened with the Commanders listed as the 4.5-point favorite. That number is in no man’s land, so it’s not surprising to see some movement since then. The Commanders are now a 4-point favorite and could easily tick down to 3.5 or 3 should Terry McLaurin get ruled out yet another week. His status is worth following as the week progresses.
Meanwhile, the total is down to 49.5 or 50 in some places after opening at 50.5. McLaurin’s status is also likely impactful here as well, albeit somewhat less so. If you can get in above 50 or at least the key number of 49, I expect a lower-scoring game than the market does in Washington on Monday night.
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