Notre Dame vs. Kansas Prediction & Odds: College Basketball Betting Preview for Nov. 24

My Notre Dame vs. Kansas prediction breaks down this early tipoff in Players Era Festival. The action from at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas gets started at 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT).

No. 24 Kansas is a 5-point betting favorite, but has not looked like the same team since losing Darryn Peterson to injury. With Peterson already ruled out for the entire tournament, I expect the Fighting Irish to capitalize and stay within the number.

This matchup is part of Feast Week, and you can stay on top of all the hoops action this Thanksgiving with our college basketball Feast Week guide.

✅ Notre Dame vs. Kansas prediction & expert picks

See all of our experts' college basketball picks this week.

🏀 Notre Dame vs. Kansas preview & score prediction

Kansas’ 3-2 start has been comprised of two losses to two of college basketball’s biggest blue bloods (Duke and North Carolina), and three wins against teams ranked outside KenPom’s top 215. This game against Notre Dame will be the Jayhawks’ first test against a fringe NCAA Tournament team, and one I expect the Fighting Irish to handle well.

Kansas has struggled without Peterson

The Jayhawks rode Peterson, next year’s potential top overall NBA draft pick, in the two games he was healthy. Peterson saw a 34.6% usage while averaging 21.5 points on an eye-popping 72% effective field goal rate.

Peterson has shot 50% from 3-point range, which added to his 131.9 offensive rating. Overall, Kansas has an offensive rating of 129, an effective field goal percentage of 60.3%, and shot 38.5% from 3-point range with a healthy Peterson. Without him, Kansas’ offensive rating has dropped to 109, along with a 52.9% effective field goal percentage and 26.2% 3-point percentage.

Notre Dame is a veteran team (by today’s college basketball standards), returning the 34th-most minutes of any D-I team from last year’s squad, and ranking in the top 50 in overall D-I experience. It is 3-1-1 ATS in neutral site games under head coach Micah Shrewsberry, and has covered the spread in 66.7% of its games with four-plus days off in his tenure.

Caesars is the only top sports betting site that has remained at the opening number of +5, while all others have ticked down a half-point to +4.5. Its -110 odds carry a 52.38% implied probability, and would net $9.09 in profits on a winning $10 wager if Notre Dame covers the spread.

Score prediction: Kansas 71, Notre Dame 69

🆚 Notre Dame vs. Kansas matchup to watch

Kansas offense vs. Notre Dame defense

Kansas’ roster was clearly built around Darryn Peterson as the alpha scorer, surrounding the generational scoring guard with complimentary pieces.

The Jayhawks should find it a struggle early against a Fighting Irish defense that has allowed 70 or fewer points in four of its last five games. While Notre Dame has lost the first half in nine straight games against AP-ranked opponents, Kansas should not explode early offensively even if it wins the first half.

Best prop bet: Kansas first half team total Under 34.5 (-113 via FanDuel)

📊 Notre Dame vs. Kansas odds

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📺 How to watch Notre Dame vs. Kansas

• Date: Monday, Nov. 24
• Tipoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena (Las Vegas)
• TV: TNT