🏀 Monmouth vs. Hofstra Prediction & Odds: CAA Championship Picks Today (March 10)

After a thrilling win at the buzzer, third-seeded Hofstra will take on fourth-seeded Monmouth to determine the CAA Championship. Let's break down our Monmouth vs. Hofstra prediction for this evening's action.

Hofstra is a 4.5-point betting favorite for tonight's game, which will get underway at 7 p.m. ET (CBSSN) at the CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. We're backing the favorites to get a big conference title win.

🏀 Monmouth vs. Hofstra picks & odds: March 10

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 3.14 units

💰 Monmouth vs. Hofstra prediction & best bet

Hofstra -3.5 (-110)

You may not know about them yet, but put the Hofstra Pride in the Big Dance, and you'll have some problems. Hofstra is a top-10 team by opponent effective field goal percentage on the year and the third-best 2-point defense. Since February 1, they lead the country in both categories.

When these teams met in the regular season, Hofstra blew out Monmouth by 16 on the road and won by three at home. In that narrow win, Hofstra shot a disastrous 27% from the field. That was a best-case scenario for Monmouth. Back Hofstra -3.5 for -110 (52.4%) at BetMGM.

Score prediction: Hofstra 72 - Monmouth 58

🔥 Best Monmouth vs. Hofstra player prop bet

Jason Rivera-Torres Under 15.5 points (-125)

Monmouth's offensive leader, forward Jason Rivera-Torres, will draw the brunt of Hofstra's defensive attention on Tuesday. Rivera-Torres is averaging 15.8 points per game and even scored 30 against Hofstra earlier in the year, but the second meeting between these teams saw him held to just six.

Hofstra's electric 2-point defense is a problem for Rivera-Torres, who does most of his damage in the interior and averages only 1.6 3-pointers (on 32.5%) per game. He'll need a big night at the charity stripe to surpass this total, and I don't see that happening here.

You'll find Rivera-Torres' points prop set to 15.5 at both FanDuel and bet365, so lock in the Under 15.5 for -125 (55.6%) at the latter site. 

🚀 Monmouth vs. Hofstra same-game parlay

The odds on this one could be better, but you won't find the combination of lines available across the market. We're backing Hofstra to win by several possessions as they hold key Monmouth contributors well below their season averages in a beatdown conference championship win.

💡 How I'm betting Monmouth vs. Hofstra

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

I really like Hofstra in this spot, and so do the models. Hofstra is a 5.6-point favorite, per BartTorvik, so being able to get them at 3.5 or 4 in most places is attractive. Lock in your bet against the spread for a couple of units.

I don't hate the Under, but we're really leaning on Hofstra's defense by betting on them to cover (and to limit Jason Rivera-Torres' scoring) already. I much prefer sticking to the spread for this game, but if you want to spread your action across multiple markets, the same logic applies.

📊 Live Monmouth vs. Hofstra odds: CAA Championship

Hofstra is a 4.5-point betting favorite in several spots, but the line generally varies across different operators to 3.5. I suspect we'll see the line move back to 4.5 as sharp action comes in - Hofstra's slow pace is a red flag, but its defense is among the nation's best.

The total opened at 134.5, crashed briefly to 132.5, and is now back to about 134.5 in several spots. BartTorvik projects a total of 137 for this one, so don't be surprised to see it tick up by another point or two before tip off.

📈 Monmouth vs. Hofstra betting trends

📺 How to watch Monmouth vs. Hofstra

• Date: Tuesday, March 10
• Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: CareFirst Arena (Washington, DC)
• TV: CBSSN
• Streaming: Paramount+