Michigan vs. Purdue Prediction, Odds & Preview Today: Best Picks for Jan. 24

The Purdue Boilermakers (15-5, 7-2 Big 10) will look for a bounce-back win when they host the Michigan Wolverines (14-4, 6-1) at 8 p.m. ET on Friday from Mackey Arena.
Purdue’s 73-70 loss to Ohio State on Tuesday snapped a seven-game win streak that dated back to Dec. 29. Meanwhile, Michigan is coming off consecutive overtime games after its 80-76 win over Northwestern on Sunday.
With the Boilermakers as the 4.5-point favorites, our Michigan vs. Purdue prediction and odds break down how to bet on this Big 10 battle on FOX.
Michigan vs. Purdue predictions today
College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites.
- Against the spread pick: Michigan +4.5 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Purdue ⭐⭐⭐
- My best pick: Vladislav Goldin Over 5.5 rebounds (-144 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Michigan vs. Purdue ATS prediction
Michigan to cover the spread: +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐
The spread has moved from 3.5 to 4.5 overnight, creating a slight edge on the Wolverines to cover as road underdogs. That’s because KenPom’s four-point projection is a bit of an outlier compared to the rest of the college basketball models.
EvanMiya’s analytical website projects a 2.3 line in favor of the Boilermakers, forecasting a 75.4-73.1 game. Bart Torvik ranks Michigan (No. 10 overall) higher than Purdue by four spots, leading to a three-point margin. Both teams are long shots in the March Madness odds.
Dusty May’s Wolverines have been given plenty of time to recover from two overtime outings in four days, so I expect them to push the Boilermakers on Friday. Michigan ranks third in the nation with a 2-point shooting clip of 60.8%, which bodes well against Purdue’s 2-point defense (228th).
This spread is worth playing at +4 or better.
Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Best Michigan vs. Purdue pick
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Vladislav Goldin Over 5.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Purdue doesn’t own an advantage in the frontcourt now that Zach Edey is in the NBA. That now belongs to Michigan’s 7-foot-1 center Vladislav Goldin, who's averaging 16.4 points and 6.1 rebounds per game this year.
Goldin has recorded at least seven rebounds in four straight games. He's cleared this rebounds line in his last seven contests when the big man has played at least 26 minutes. I like his chances of cashing this bet as long as Goldin stays out of foul trouble.
Best odds: -144 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 59.02%
Live Michigan vs. Purdue odds
See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.
Michigan vs. Purdue opening odds
- Spread: Michigan +3.5 (-110) | Purdue -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 (-110) | Under 151.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Visitor +135 | Host -167
Michigan vs. Purdue game info
- When: Friday, Jan. 24
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Mackey Arena (West Lafayette, IN)
- How to watch: FOX
- Favorite: Purdue -4.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
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