🏀 Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech Prediction: CUSA Odds & Picks (March 14)

My best Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech prediction for tonight's 8:30 p.m. ET (CBSSN) CUSA final at Propst Arena in Huntsville, Ala., focuses on Kennesaw State's fast pace of play, and how it could benefit Louisiana Tech. Kennesaw State is favored by 2.5.

Despite these teams combining for just 113 in their last meeting, I highlight why I expect this to be a high-scoring game, with at least one team clearing its season average.

To keep up on all of the weekend's action, our college basketball conference tournament guide provides all the info you need ahead of Selection Sunday.   

🏀 Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech picks & odds: CUSA (March 14)

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.92 units

💰 Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech prediction & best bet

Over 139.5 (-112)

The last time these two teams met, Louisiana Tech won 58-55. However, Kennesaw State is averaging 80.9 points per game (53rd nationally) after scoring more than 70 in nine of its last 10 games.

And while Louisiana Tech allows just 64.8 points per game, the Bulldogs are averaging 70.2, scoring at least 76 in four of their last five games. 

Finally, Kennesaw State is averaging 75.2 possessions per game, which ranks 16th nationwide. The fast pace of play will give Louisiana Tech more scoring opportunities against a defense allowing 76.5 per game.

Score prediction: Louisiana Tech 72 - Kennesaw State 71

🔥 Best Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech team prop bet

Louisiana Tech Over 70.5 points (-104)

With 70.2 points per game, Louisiana Tech ranks 307th out of 365 teams in scoring offense. But this is a team that's already scored 82 points against Kennesaw State this season. In that game, Louisiana Tech shot 53% from the field, knocking down eight 3-pointers.

In the second meeting, Louisiana Tech shot just 32% from the floor and made only four 3-pointers. But my main takeaway from that game is that Louisiana Tech actually put up more shots and 3-pointers when scoring just 55 than when they scored 82.

Kennesaw State ranks 67th in opponent's field-goal percentage, but 212th in opponent's field-goal attempts. Louisiana Tech sits 268th in field-goal percentage. But with more shot attempts than usual, I expect the Bulldogs to clear their season average for the seventh consecutive game.

🚀 Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech same-game parlay

DraftKings is offering a much better price for Louisiana Tech to win this game than any of the other best March Madness betting sites.

Therefore, while this parlay at other sportsbooks would have a price around +250, DraftKings' price is north of +300. It may seem counterintuitive to back the lower-scoring team in a high-scoring game, but as I've already highlighted, the pace of play may benefit Louisiana Tech, as it did in the Bulldogs' win over Kennesaw State earlier this year.

💡 How I'm betting Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

I'm risking fewer units than usual on this game. Making an against-the-spread or moneyline pick for this game feels nearly impossible, considering the first two meetings and how inconsistent both teams have been this season. That's why I'm risking only half a unit and backing the underdog to get the better payout.

However, I'm very happy to back the Over, especially now that the number has dropped below 140. Bettors are too focused on the last meeting between these two teams and not what each has done lately. And while I'm confident in Louisiana Tech scoring over its season average, I'm only risking one unit, because this is a team that could fail to make anything of increased offensive opportunities.

📊 Live Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech odds: CUSA

Kennesaw State opened as 1.5-point favorites, but the spread has grown to 2.5. I can't get a good read on whether this will keep increasing, but considering I'm on Louisiana Tech's moneyline, I'm happy with this movement.

As for the total, the number opened at 141.5, but it's dropped two points. Expect this number to keep dropping because these teams played a 58-55 game in February. This becomes a four-star, two-unit play if the number hits 137.5.

📈 Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech betting trends

📺 How to watch Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech: CUSA

• Date: Saturday, March 14
• Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Propst Arena (Huntsville, Ala.)
• TV: CBSSN
• Streaming: Paramount+