🏀 Idaho vs. Montana Prediction: Big Sky Championship Odds & Picks (March 11)
A spot in the NCAA Tournament will be up for grabs during the Big Sky championship game between Idaho and Montana, and my Idaho vs. Montana prediction expects a defensive battle. Tipoff is 11:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho, on ESPN2.
Idaho hasn't made the tourney since 1990, while Montana went dancing last March. The Vandals are 2.5-point favorites entering tonight's game.
🏀 Idaho vs. Montana picks & odds: Big Sky Championship (March 11)
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana ML | +124 via DraftKings | 0.5u -> 0.62u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 145.5 | -110 via FanDuel | 1u -> 0.91u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.53 units
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💰 Idaho vs. Montana prediction & best bet
Under 145.5 (-110)
I expect to see some struggling offenses in the Big Sky title game. Idaho is playing for a fourth time in as many days, averaging 75.6 points in the tournament thus far. Montana has scored 170 total points in two games to reach the final.
Both regular-season meetings finished Under the closing total by a combined 13.5 points. Montana earned a 79-73 win over Idaho on Jan. 8 before finishing up the season sweep with a 73-68 victory on Feb. 7.
Idaho has performed much better offensively since those two meetings, but the Vandals are heavily reliant on 3-pointers. They rank 32nd in the country in 3-point rate. Montana is 92nd in 3-point defense.
This total is as low as 144 at Circa Sportsbook, indicating the value at FanDuel. I'd play the Under at 145 or better.
Score prediction: Montana 72, Idaho 71
🏀 More tournament action
Our college basketball best bets dives into the other tournament action as March Madness begins to heat up.
🚀 Idaho vs. Montana same-game parlay
Because there are no player props available for this game, my Idaho vs. Montana parlay focuses on my two picks for the title contest. A parlay of the Under and Montana's moneyline comes out to a +276 payout at FanDuel. To me, that's the only SGP worth making here.
💵 Idaho vs. Montana SGP picks
- Montana ML (+120)
- Under 145.5 (-110)
Best odds: +276 via FanDuel (0.1Xu -> 0.27u)
💡 How I'm betting Idaho vs. Montana
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
With no player prop markets for this game, I've only allocated 1.5 units between the Under and Montana's moneyline.
I feel more confident in the Under, which is why it's my top play. These two teams will certainly have tired legs entering tonight's title game, and the total hasn't budged much from its opening line. I expect the total to drop before tipoff.
As for my Montana moneyline wager, it's more about taking the better odds in a true coin-flip game. This contest could go either way.
📊 Live Idaho vs. Montana odds: Big Sky championship
Idaho has gone from a 1.5-point favorite to laying -2.5 overnight, as the market believes in the Vandals being the better team. The total has dropped from 145.5 to 145.
I'd be surprised if the spread moves much further, but the total has room to fall ahead of tonight's matchup.
📈 Idaho vs. Montana betting trends
| Idaho | Statistic | Montana |
|---|---|---|
| 20-14 | W-L record | 18-15 |
| 15-16 | ATS record | 15-14 |
| 14-17 | O/U record | 14-14-1 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
📺 How to watch Idaho vs. Montana: Big Sky Championship
- Date: Wednesday, March 11
- Tipoff: 11:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Idaho Central Arena (Boise, Idaho)
- TV: ESPN2
- Streaming: ESPN App
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