🏀 High Point vs. Arkansas Prediction, Picks & Parlay: March Madness Second Round Odds Tonight
No. 12 High Point is riding a 15-game winning streak and the momentum of its stunning first-round upset of Wisconsin into tonight's second-round clash with No. 4 Arkansas. The Razorbacks are 12.5-point favorites ahead of a 9:45 p.m. ET tip at Moda Center in Portland on TBS/truTV, with the spread climbing from its 10.5 opener.
My best High Point vs. Arkansas prediction backs the Panthers to cover again, drawing on similarities between Arkansas and the Wisconsin team High Point just took down. My March Madness predictions also target a Rob Martin three-pointer prop, expecting High Point to keep bombing from deep against a Razorbacks defense that hard-hedges ball screens.
π High Point vs. Arkansas picks & odds: March Madness Second Round
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATS/ML pick | High Point +11.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.88u | ββββ |
| O/U pick | Under 169.5 (-118 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.85u | βββ |
| Player prop pick | Rob Martin Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-112 via bet365) | 1u -> 0.89u | βββ |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.62 units
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π΅ Latest High Point vs. Arkansas odds & betting splits
Latest High Point vs. Arkansas odds and betting splits via BetMGM.
| Market | High Point | Arkansas | Betting splits |
|---|---|---|---|
| βοΈ Spread | +12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | 46% High Point / 54% Arkansas |
| βοΈ Total (O/U) | O 170.5 (-110) | U 170.5 (-110) | 51% Over / 49% Under |
| π΅ Moneyline | +575 | -900 | 15% High Point / 85% Arkansas |
The spread has climbed two points from its 10.5 opener to 12.5, even with spread bets nearly split at 46/54. Arkansas draws 85% of moneyline action at -900. The total has ticked up to 170.5 with Over/Under bets essentially dead even at 51/49 for one of the highest totals on the second-round slate.
π Who will win High Point vs. Arkansas?
High Point's outright win over Wisconsin as a 10.5-point underdog on Thursday was the biggest upset in the NCAA Tournament in almost two years. The win ended over a 30-game winning streak for tournament favorites of at least eight points, but history says the Panthers cannot extend the nation's longest active winning streak to 16 against the Razorbacks.
Score prediction: Arkansas 88, High Point 81
π° High Point vs. Arkansas prediction & best bet
See the latest March Madness odds for every team in the 2026 NCAA Tournament.
High Point +11.5 (-114)
High Point broke a 19-year winless drought for the Big South in the NCAA Tournament. But itβs very much the same Panthers team that hung with Purdue last year despite holding the Boilermakers to 50% on 2-pointers and trailing by just three with seven minutes left.
High Point had great preparation for Arkansas by playing Wisconsin, as the two teams similarly run offense through their standout backcourt duos.
The most impressive thing about Thursdayβs win was that Wisconsin was previously 21-2 when shooting at least 33.3% from beyond the arc, and the Badgers shot 39.1%.
π₯ Best High Point vs. Arkansas player prop bet
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions for March Madness.
Rob Martin Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-112)
In three games that High Point faced a top-100 defense this year, it averaged a preposterous 50% 3-point rate. The Panthers carved up those two top defenses (Southern Illinois and UIC) to the tune of 1.11 and 1.25 points per possession, respectively.
High Point will face another defense that hard-hedges ball screens for the second straight game in Arkansas, after competing against mostly ball-screen switching defenses in the Big South. The Razorbacks hard hedge more than anyone in the SEC, and spacing and spreading the floor is the way to attack that.
This is not an overreaction to Rob Martin going 4-for-10 from 3-point range against Wisconsin, as I am still well aware that he is a 29.4% perimeter shooter. I just expect John Calipari to pick his poison against High Point, and focus more on taking away the Panthersβ straight-line drives.
π High Point vs. Arkansas same-game parlay
High Point was impressive in battling back from a 2.9% win probability when it trailed Wisconsin by eight with less than six minutes to play. That gives me confidence with the first two legs of this parlay that the Panthers are never out of a game, and can string together plenty of consecutive defensive stops when needed.
💵 High Point vs. Arkansas SGP picks
- High Point +11.5 (-115)
- Under 169 (-115)
- Rob Martin Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-112)
Best odds: +562 via bet365 (1u -> 5.62u)
π΅ My betting record for college basketball
All college basketball picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 13.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 38-41 | -0.72 units β | -0.9% β |
| Game picks | 23-26 | -3.76 units β | -27.1% β |
| Player props | 14-13 | +4.17 units β | +15.5% β |
π‘ How I'm betting High Point vs. Arkansas: March Madness strategy
Given that there are so many similarities between Arkansas and Wisconsin (albeit that High Point has never seen a player like Darius Acuff Jr.), I am confidently backing High Point and the Under in a game where both teams have just one day to prepare.
John Calipari improved to just 7-11 ATS in the Round of 64 as a double-digit favorite, and that lack of ATS success doesn't bode well for his team's chances of covering a second straight big spread.
π Live High Point vs. Arkansas odds: March Madness Second Round
Arkansas' spread has moved from 10.5 at the open to 12.5 at BetMGM, a two-point climb despite spread bets being nearly even at 46/54. That movement on balanced action suggests the money on the Arkansas side is heavier per ticket. The total has risen to 170.5 with bets split 51/49, making it one of the most evenly bet Over/Unders on the board tonight.
π High Point vs. Arkansas betting trends
| High Point | Statistic | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| 31-4 | Record | 27-8 |
| 16-16 | ATS record | 23-12 |
| 21-11 | O/U record | 20-15 |
| 89th | KenPom ranking | 15th |
| 117.2 (64th) | Adj. offensive rating (rank) | 127.9 (4th) |
| 108.1 (144th) | Adj. defensive rating (rank) | 101.7 (48th) |
πΊ How to watch High Point vs. Arkansas: March Madness Second Round
- Date: Saturday, March 21
- Tipoff: 9:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Moda Center (Portland, Ore.)
- TV: TBS/truTV
- Streaming: HBO Max
π More March Madness predictions today (Saturday, March 21)
| VCU vs. Illinois | |
| Vanderbilt vs. Nebraska | High Point vs. Arkansas |
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