🏀 Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State Prediction Today: Horizon League Championship Picks

The Horizon League Championship is on the line, so let's dive into our Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State prediction today. Top-seeded Wright State will fight third-seeded Detroit Mercy with an automatic bid on the line. 

Wright State is a 4.5-point betting favorite, with tipoff from Corteva Coliseum in Indianapolis set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). We're backing TJ Nadeau and the underdog with our college basketball best bets.

🏀 Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State picks & odds: March 10

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.25 units | Max profit: 2.32 units

💰 Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State prediction & best bet

Our Shane Thurston features NEC Tournament picks in his Mercyhurst vs. LIU prediction.

Over 151.5 (-110)

These teams can shoot and play quickly. Since February 1, both sides rank tied for 110th in pace. Wright State is 62nd in effective field-goal percentage over that sample while Detroit Mercy is 120th. Both sides are top-60 in 3-point percentage over that stretch, too.

The previous meetings between these teams have seen lots of points: 151 and 166, to be precise. The lower-scoring of those contests saw Wright State get very unlucky from deep (28%). I don't expect that to be an issue tonight, so buy the Over 151.5 for -110 at FanDuel.

Score prediction: Wright State 80, Detroit Mercy 77

🔥 Best Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State player prop bet

Our college basketball conference tournament guide features everything you need to know ahead of Selection Sunday.

TJ Nadeau Over 14.5 points (-105)

Detroit Mercy guard TJ Nadeau was held Under this line in his previous two meetings with Wright State, but he is well-positioned to sail over it tonight. Nadeau is a 45.8% shooter from beyond the arc this year, which could be an issue for a Wright State defense that ranks 225th in 3-point percentage allowed since February 1.

Wright State's increased pace and efficient offense have been able to compensate for a shaky defense, but with the BartTorvik total at 156 and the betting total at 151.5, Nadeau is one of several players who could exceed the market's expectations tonight. If he gets hot from deep, he could go for 20+ for the eighth time this year.

Lock in Nadeau to go Over 14.5 for -105 at bet365.

🚀 Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State same-game parlay

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

💡 How I'm betting Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State

For tonight's Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State contest, I can't help but like the offenses. There are two ways that I recommend exploiting that angle, and I generally advise sticking to one for a two-unit wager. 

First, you can play the Over 151.5 for a two-unit risk. Second, you can ladder TJ Nadeau's points props for a total of a two-unit risk. You can also split your action down the middle (that's what I wrote up in the above chart), but I'll personally be taking one of these paths.

📊 Live Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State odds

Wright State is a 4.5-point favorite for this one in a matchup that should probably feature a tighter spread. BartTorvik makes this Wright State -4, so we're not far off, so I suspect we'll see this one fluctuate around the current number. 

The total for this game opened at 152.5 but has been bid down to 151.5. BartTorvik makes the total 156. I'll be surprised if the Over doesn't draw more action as tip approaches, especially since Wright State has picked up the pace since February.

📈 Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State betting trends

📺 How to watch Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State

• Date: Tuesday, March 10
• Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Corteva Coliseum (Indianapolis)
• TV: ESPN