🏀 Timberwolves vs. Celtics Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 22)
🎙️ SBR Intel: Timberwolves vs. Celtics player props
Our props have been cashing for two weeks straight (9-3) - let's stay hot with a trio of player props for Timberwolves vs. Celtics tonight. I'm targeting Jaylen Brown, Julius Randle, and Jayson Tatum in what should be a tight matchup wire-to-wire despite the large spread.
π Best Timberwolves vs. Celtics player props today: NBA picks for March 22
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| βΉοΈββοΈ Player | π° Prop bet | π§ Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum, Celtics | Under 21.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) | Still shaking off rust after a 10-month layoff, shooting under 30% from 3-point land. |
| Julius Randle, Timberwolves | 2+ 3-pointers (+112 via DraftKings) | Randle's usage rate will continue to spike with Edwards sidelined tonight. |
| Jaylen Brown, Celtics | Over 25.5 points (-112 via FanDuel) | Three games in a row of 20 shot attempts or more - he'll pour it one tonight once again. |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.88 units
π° Best Timberwolves vs. Celtics prop bet
Jayson Tatum Under 21.5 points (-114)
Tatum is still clearly shaking off some rust after a 3-of-15 shooting night on Friday, and likely won't see more than 30 minutes of action against Minnesota as he continues to ramp up following his return from injury. Brown, who I'm featuring as my best NBA player prop today, has taken the keys to the Celtics' offense and won't be returning them anytime soon. Fade Tatum until he shows you otherwise.
| Date | Opponent | Points Scored | Result (vs 21.5) | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | @ Grizzlies | 13 | β UNDER | 20.0% |
| Mar 18 | vs. Warriors | 24 | β OVER | 46.7% |
| Mar 16 | vs. Suns | 21 | β UNDER | 44.4% |
| Mar 14 | vs. Wizards | 20 | β UNDER | 42.1% |
| Mar 10 | @ Spurs | 24 | β OVER | 41.7% |
π₯ More Timberwolves vs. Celtics prop picks
Julius Randle 2+ 3-pointers (+112)
Randle is the Timberwolves' offense ever since Anthony Edwards has been sidelined. Heβs coming off a 32-point performance against the Suns, hitting 2-of-3 from beyond the arc, and will need to stay aggressive if the Timberwolves are going to challenge Boston. Expect coach Chris Finch to feature more pick-and-pop action with Randle to draw Bostonβs rim protectors away from the paint. This is a bet I'd feel comfortable playing up to -105 at the top NBA sportsbooks.
| Date | Opponent | 3PM / 3PA | Result (2+ 3PM) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | vs. Portland | 0 / 1 | β UNDER |
| Mar 18 | vs. Utah | 1 / 2 | β UNDER |
| Mar 17 | vs. Phoenix | 2 / 3 | β OVER |
| Mar 15 | @ Oklahoma City | 3 / 5 | β OVER |
| Mar 13 | @ Golden State | 0 / 2 | β UNDER |
Jaylen Brown Over 25.5 points vs. Timberwolves (-112)
Over his last 10 matchups with Minnesota, Brown is averaging a clean 31 points per game and hasnβt been held below 25 against them since early 2021. He's also been on a tear this season, posting 30-plus points in 31 games. With the Timberwolves shorthanded, expect him to comfortably hit that mark again tonight. Play this one up to -120 at our best sports betting apps.
π Timberwolves vs. Celtics same-game parlay
When you hear the phrase "correlated parlay," this is exactly what we're talking about. Brown has unequivocally taken over the offense for Boston, which leads me to believe he'll go over this number one more time, with Tatum going under as a result. Meanwhile, with Anthony Edwards sitting out, you better believe the Timberwolves' offense will be funelling through Julius Randle. Expect his usage to spike tonight against Boston's middling perimeter defense (14th).
💵 Timberwolves vs. Celtics SGP picks
- Jayson Tatum Under 21.5 points (-114)
- Julius Randle 2+ 3-pointers (+112)
- Jaylen Brown Over 25.5 points (-112)
Best odds: +653 via FanDuel (.2u -> 1.30u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 10
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Player props | 9-3 | +6.54 units β |
| Parlays | 1-3 | +0.53 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting Celtics vs. Timberwolves
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm allocating three total units (one unit = $100) across three players, exposing an equal amount of my bankroll on each one. Sunday's card for Celtics vs. Timberwolves is built around matchup edges Iβve identified, with all three bets looking to exploit defensive mismatches or minutes restrictions. While I usually don't expose more than a .5 unit on plus-money plays, the data support backing Julius Randle from beyond the arc tonight. However you like to play NBA player props, remember to keep your bankroll front of mind. Let's end the weekend in style.
💰️ Bankroll management
LJ Blut breaks down his approach to bankroll management in sports betting.
π Timberwolves vs. Celtics injuries
πΊ How to watch Timberwolves vs. Celtics
- Date: Sunday, March 22
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, Mass.
- TV: NBC, Peacock
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