Best Thunder vs. Timberwolves Parlay Picks: Game 3 SGP Predictions
Our best Thunder vs. Timberwolves parlay picks and predictions focus on an ATS pick, as well as player props for Donte DiVincenzo and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, ahead of tonight's Game 3. Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC), with oddsmakers expecting a competitive contest.
Our NBA playoffs expert picks expect the Timberwolves to show more fight after losing the first two games of the Western Conference Finals by a combined 41 points. Our same-game parlay, which features three of our best NBA picks for Game 3, features +824 odds.
๐ Thunder vs. Timberwolves parlay: Best SGP odds for Game 3
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๐ฅ 1st leg: Timberwolves +3.5 โญโญโญโญ
After losing the first two games of the series by an average of 20.5 points, Minnesota is in a must-win mode of sorts. Entering Game 2, Minnesota had been fantastic coming off losses this postseason. Following its first three postseason losses, it out-scored its opponents 116.5-98.5 while shooting 49.4% from the field.
The Thunder are scary good, as evidenced by their 26-point win in Game 1, tying for the fourth-largest postseason win by a team losing at halftime. In addition, OKC has outscored opponents by 30 points in a half four times these playoffs. It is the sixth team to win at least four games by 25-plus points in a single postseason.
However, we expect the Timberwolves to play like their season is on the line in front of their home fans. We are giving ourselves some flexibility by backing their 3.5-point spread, instead of their +125 moneyline odds.
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Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
๐ฅ 2nd leg: Donte DiVincenzo Over 2.5 3-pointers made โญโญโญ
DiVincenzo was one of only two Timberwolves to make multiple 3-pointers in each of the first two games in this series. The combination of role players playing even better at home, as well as what teammate Anthony Edwards has done so far this series, makes this a confident three-star play.
The Thunder held Edwards to 18 points in Game 1, and his average field goal attempt distance was 25.8 feet, per Genius IQ. After Edwards went 1-for-9 from beyond the arc in Game 2, we expect him to attack the rim much more at home, creating open perimeter looks for DiVincenzo.
We are less confident on Naz Reid going Over 1.5 made 3-pointers, despite the steep -166 odds, considering he has missed his last 14 3-point attempts dating back to last round. DiVincenzo has made multiple 3-pointers in four consecutive games, and his 18 attempts from beyond the arc thus far suggest a high floor for his shot attempts.
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Best odds: +158 via FanDuel ($10 to win $15.80)
๐ฅ 3rd leg: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 6.5 assists โญโญโญ
Gilgeous-Alexander has eight games this postseason with 30 points and five-plus assists, the most in a single postseason in Oklahoma City history. However, we expect Minnesota to turn this game into a half-court rock fight, and the Thunder entered this series ranked eighth among playoff teams with 1.11 half-court points per possession.
Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.5 points in this series. His 34.2 points per game average over the last three seasons against Minnesota entering this series was the best in the NBA (min. six games played). If the MVP keeps scoring at a high clip, that adds to the value that this Under provides at plus-money odds.
The Thunder have struggled offensively on the road. They have averaged 106.8 points per game in road playoff games, down from a 125.7 points per game average at home entering the series. In addition, their points per game differential is -1.6 in road playoff games, while shooting 42% from the field and 27% from beyond the arc.
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Best odds: +116 via FanDuel ($10 to win $11.60)
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