Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Props Today: Nikola Jokic & Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Best Bets
Last Updated: February 1, 2026 12:56 PM EST • 2 minute read Google News Link
The two best teams in the Western Conference meet for the first time this season as I offer my top Thunder vs. Nuggets player props today.
Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from Ball Arena in Denver (NBC/Peacock), with the Thunder a 7.5-point road betting favorite. However, Nikola Jokic is featured twice in my NBA best bets for Sunday, as I expect a big game from the star center.
🏀 Thunder vs. Nuggets player props today: 9:30 p.m. ET
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic, C, Nuggets | Over 24.5 points | -106 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, PG, Thunder | Under 42.5 points + rebounds + assists | -116 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nikola Jokic, C, Nuggets | Over 8.5 assists | +106 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Best Thunder vs. Nuggets prop bet: Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 points (-106)
Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
This is a really low scoring total for Nikola Jokic, even considering his month-long absence.
Jokic didn't miss a beat in his first game back from injury earlier this week, dropping 31 points on efficient shooting against the Clippers. I expect the three-time NBA MVP to clear 24.5 points with ease, and I love the -106 odds we're getting at DraftKings.
🔥 More Thunder vs. Nuggets prop picks
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 42.5 points + rebounds + assists (-116)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had some massive performances against the Nuggets, but this combo prop total is too high in this matchup - even for the reigning MVP.
SGA has gone Under this total in four of his last five meetings with Denver. While I don't expect Gilgeous-Alexander to be neutralized by any means, he won't reach 43 points + rebounds + assists.
Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (+106)
No player tallies more assists on their home floor than Nikola Jokic, with the Serbian big man averaging 11.4 assists per game at Ball Arena.
Even with Jokic likely playing fewer minutes than he's accustomed to tonight, I love his chances of going Over this number against Oklahoma City.
🚀 Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP
💵 Thunder vs. Nuggets same-game parlay
- Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 points (-106) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 42.5 points + rebounds + assists (-116) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (+106) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +645 via DraftKings ($10 to win $64.53)
📈 Thunder vs. Nuggets betting trends
| Thunder | Statistic | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| 38-11 | W-L record | 33-16 |
| 23-26 | ATS record | 29-20 |
| 24-25 | O/U record | 30-19 |
| 2-3 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
🚑 Thunder vs. Nuggets injuries
📺 How to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 1
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: NBC/Peacock
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Liam Fox