🏀 Thunder vs. Lakers Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Game 4
📡 SBR Edge: LeBron Goes All Out to Avoid Sweep
My Thunder vs. Lakers player props for Game 4 today feature LeBron James Over 22.5 points (-110). He has scored 23+ points in four of L.A.'s last five games. My second NBA best bet is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points (-104), as he has gone under this line in five straight outings against the Lakers.
🏀 Best Thunder vs. Lakers player props: NBA Playoffs Game 4
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James Over 22.5 points | -110 via BetMGM | 1.1u -> 1u | Had 23+ points in 4 of his last 5 games |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points | -104 via FanDuel | 1.04u -> 1u | Had 28 or fewer points in each of his last 5 games vs. LAL |
Total wagered: 2.14 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Thunder vs. Lakers prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
LeBron James Over 22.5 points (-110)
L.A. had roughly a 20% chance on prediction markets to beat Houston before their first-round series, but James was not deterred despite being without Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves.
Fast forward to today, and while L.A. looks dead in the water, James will likely go all out to keep its season alive. He has scored 23+ points in four of L.A.'s last five games, and I wouldn't expect him to simply give up on the season - especially at home.
BetMGM has James Over 22.5 at -110, but this bet is good up to -130 on the best sports betting sites.
💸 More NBA player prop picks
I target LeBron James and Duncan Robinson in my NBA player props tonight.
🔥 More Thunder vs. Lakers prop picks
The Thunder are the betting favorite to win the NBA Finals.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 28.5 points (-104)
I like Gilgeous-Alexander to keep going Under against the Lakers. He's struggled against their defense, scoring 28 or fewer in each of his last five matchups against L.A.
There's another angle working against him here, too, as referees have been allowing more contact lately. Donovan Mitchell complained about this earlier in the conference semifinals, and the change appears to have affected Gilgeous-Alexander as well. He's averaging just 6.3 free-throw attempts per game this round (compared to 12.3 in the first).
His Under 28.5 is -104 at FanDuel, but I'd play this up to -120 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More NBA expert picks for today
I feature Jalen Duren and a +410 SGP in my Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props.
🚀 Thunder vs. Lakers same-game parlay
The Lakers won the first half in both Games 2 and 3, and part of the reason was that they were getting the ball out of Gilgeous-Alexander's hands. If the Lakers win the first half again today, it will likely be because Gilgeous-Alexander is struggling, which would make Ajay Mitchell more likely to go over his points total. bet365 offers this parlay at +600, while FanDuel doesn't allow these picks to be combined.
💵 Thunder vs. Lakers SGP picks
- Lakers first-half ML
- Ajay Mitchell Over 16.5 points
Best odds: +600 via bet365 (0.17u -> 1u)
💡 More NBA expert picks today
- NBA player props tonight
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props
- Thunder vs. Lakers player props
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 179-189-4 | -3.27 units ❌ | -0.9% ❌ |
| Player props | 155-131-4 | -5.82 units ❌ | -1.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 20-53 | +3.44 units ✅ | 15.7% ✅ |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units ❌ | -13.1% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 67-59 | +13.77 units ✅ | 13.4% ✅ |
| Player props | 56-32 | +13.71 units ✅ | 16% ✅ |
| Parlays | 12-26 | +2.45 units ✅ | 23% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units ❌ | -52.5% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Thunder vs. Lakers: NBA Playoffs Game 4 strategy
The first three games of this series have all pretty much played out the same way. The Lakers have been competitive in the first half before getting blown out in the second half. James has played more aggressively than he did in the regular season, and the Lakers have forced Gilgeous-Alexander to become a distributor instead of a scorer. I see no reason for any of this to change in Game 4, so I'm sticking with what has been profitable.
🚑 Thunder vs. Lakers injuries: Game 4
📺 How to watch Thunder vs. Lakers: West semifinals - Game 4
- Date: Monday, May 11
- Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: Prime Video
- Spread: Thunder -11.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -474 | Lakers +450
- Total: 214.5
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