🏀 Pistons vs. Cavaliers Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Game 4

Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props for Game 4 today feature Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-140), our top SGP, and more.

Corey Scott

Last Updated: May 11, 2026 3:14 PM EDT • 3 minute read

Pictured: Detroit Pistons forward Duncan Robinson (55), seen here reacting during a game, is featured in our Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props for Game 4 today. Photo by Ken Blaze / Imagn Images.

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📡 SBR Edge: Robinson's 3-Point Shot Stays Hot

My Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props for Game 4 today feature Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-140). He has attempted eight or more 3-pointers in four of his last five games. My second NBA best bet is Jalen Duren Under 13.5 points (-112), as he has scored 12 or fewer points in nine of his 10 playoff games.

🏀 Best Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props: NBA Playoffs Game 4

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.

💰 Pick	💡 Best odds	⚖️ Bet size	🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made	-140 via BetMGM	1.4u -> 1u	Has 8+ 3PA in 4 of his last 5 games
Jalen Duren Under 13.5 points	-112 via BetRivers	0.56u -> 0.5u	Has scored 12 or fewer points in 9 of his 10 playoff games

Total wagered: 1.96 units | Max profit: 1.5 units

💰 Best Pistons vs. Cavaliers prop bet

The Pistons have the fourth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-140)

Robinson has been one of my best bets this postseason, and I'm riding his Over on 3-pointers again tonight. He's been one of the most dangerous weapons in Detroit's offense, attempting eight or more 3-pointers in four of the team's last five games.

He's making 58.3% of his threes in this series, so as long as he gets enough looks, three or more makes is realistic for the 41% 3-point shooter during the regular season. BetMGM has his Over 2.5 three-pointers at -140, but this bet is good up to -165 on the best sports betting sites.

💸 More NBA player prop picks

I feature Duncan Robinson, LeBron James, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in my NBA player props tonight.

🔥 More Pistons vs. Cavaliers prop picks

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Jalen Duren Under 13.5 points (-112)

For those of you who have been following my picks, I may start to sound like a broken record by now.

Duren is not as talented offensively as we thought he was in the regular season. As coaches game-plan for him and intensity ramps up in the postseason, his scoring drops off tremendously, which is why he has cashed this bet in nine of the Pistons’ 10 playoff games. We’re going to keep playing this until the market fully corrects.

Duren Under 13.5 is -112 at BetRivers, but I'd play this up to -125 on the best sports betting apps.

🚀 Pistons vs. Cavaliers same-game parlay

DraftKings is offering Cavaliers -3.5 parlayed with Robinson 4+ three-pointers at +410 odds, which is too high according to my projections (FanDuel offers the same parlay at +367). This parlay hit in Game 3, and with such a short spread, these bets still have a solid chance of hitting together.

💵 Pistons vs. Cavaliers SGP picks

Cavaliers -3.5
Duncan Robinson 4+ three-pointers

Best odds: +410 via DraftKings (0.24u -> 1u)

💡 More NBA expert picks today

NBA player props tonight
Pistons vs. Cavaliers player props

💵 My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type	Record	Net profit	ROI
Overall	179-189-4	-3.27 units ❌	-0.9% ❌
Player props	155-131-4	-5.82 units ❌	-1.7% ❌
Parlays	20-53	+3.44 units ✅	15.7% ✅
Spreads	2-3	-0.8 units ❌	-13.1% ❌
Totals	2-2	-0.09 units ❌	-4.1% ❌

My betting record in the NBA postseason

Tracked since April 14.

Bet type	Record	Net profit	ROI
Overall	67-59	+13.77 units ✅	13.4% ✅
Player props	56-32	+13.71 units ✅	16% ✅
Parlays	12-26	+2.45 units ✅	23% ✅
Spreads	1-3	-2.3 units ❌	-52.5% ❌
Totals	2-2	-0.09 units ❌	-4.1% ❌

💡 How I'm betting Pistons vs. Cavaliers: NBA Playoffs Game 4 strategy

With the exception of the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets being eliminated, these playoffs have been very predictable. Because of that, I would recommend that newer bettors avoid being contrarian right now. We have a pair of player props that have been very profitable this postseason, so now is not the time to expect the unexpected. The market is still anchored to regular-season results that, in my opinion, are not as predictive in the postseason.

🚑 Pistons vs. Cavaliers injuries: Game 4

📺 How to watch Pistons vs. Cavaliers: East semifinals - Game 4

Date: Monday, May 11
Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland)
TV: NBC
Streaming: Peacock
Spread: Cavaliers -3.5
Moneyline: Pistons +143 | Cavaliers -157
Total: 213.5

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Written by:
Corey Scott

Corey is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review and holds a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting from the College of Sports Media in Toronto. He is one of the NBA player-prop specialists at SBR and focuses on the impact of injuries to identify where the market has been slow to adjust. Corey also frequently bets sides in the NBA, NFL, MLB, and CFL, typically using a top-down approach to beat the closing line. His work has appeared across the USA Today Network, Gambling.com Group, and Athlon Sports. With more than a decade of sports betting experience, Corey is familiar with all types of operators, from regulated sportsbooks to less conventional platforms, though he primarily uses Pinnacle and FanDuel. While he rarely bets parlays anymore - unless they are clearly mispriced - his biggest win came from a seven-team parlay at +13675 odds. Corey visits Las Vegas multiple times a year. His favorite resort is the Wynn/Encore, though he can be found at any sportsbook offering an off-market number.