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Thunder vs. Bucks NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks and Predictions for Sunday

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: March 24, 2024 5:54 PM EDT • 3 min 21 sec read.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma City Thunder celebrates scoring a 3-pointer against the Miami Heat during the fourth quarter at Kaseya Center as we look at our Thunder-Bucks NBA player props.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma City Thunder celebrates scoring a 3-pointer against the Miami Heat during the fourth quarter at Kaseya Center. Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images/AFP.

The Oklahoma City Thunder seek to extend their win streak on the road, and our Thunder vs. Bucks NBA player props are based on the best NBA odds.

Sunday's matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Milwaukee Bucks feartures a star-studded lineup with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Damian Lillard, and Giannis Antetokounmpo set to suit up.

After winning three of its last four games, Milwaukee sit as the No. 2 seed in the East with a 45-25 record. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has won four straight to bring its record to 49-20 as it fights with the Denver Nuggets for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

This is the first time these teams have met in 2023-24, and the Thunder and Bucks will face off again in April during the final day of the season. OKC is 18-5 against the Eastern Conference, and Milwaukee is 14-11 when facing the West. This one is sure to be full of fireworks, and we’re laying out three player props to help you profit.

Here are our best Thunder vs. Bucks NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Thunder vs. Bucks NBA player props: Sunday

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Thunder vs. Bucks props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 9.5 first-quarter points (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Gilgeous-Alexander ranks third in the Association in first-quarter points at 9.5, and he’s hit the Over on this prop in 43 of 68 games on the season. That’s 63.2% of his contests, and here the implied probability is 51.5% with our -106 odds. We’re getting this one at a discount, and the best price can be found at FanDuel. 

The Canadian's overall points prop is set at 31.5. But he’s failed to hit that mark in six straight outings, and the line is heavily juiced. That's why we’re looking at his first-quarter points.

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The Bucks have allowed the ninth-most first-quarter points in 2023-24, and SGA has gone Over in 19 of 34 on the road, or 55.8%. Milwaukee also ranks seventh in first-quarter points scored, which means SGA and the Thunder will need to get off to a hot start to keep pace with the home team.

Damian Lillard Over 3.5 made 3-pointers (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐\

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Dame has been hot since winning the 3-Point Contest, averaging 3.9 triples since the All-Star break. Lillard has knocked down at least four triples in nine of 14 contests during that span. That includes three straight heading into Sunday's showdown.

Lillard is averaging 3.2 triples at home compared to 3.0 on the road in 2023. He’s hit the Over on this prop in four of his last five in Milwaukee, and during 15 of the team's 33 home games overall.

The Thunder are allowing the seventh-most 3-pointers in 2023-24, so we’ll count on Lillard reaching this mark in his fourth straight contest. Lillard’s recent success from beyond the arc means the even money odds here are being offered at a discount with a 50% implied probability. A $10 wager gives a $10 return. 

Jalen Williams Over 27.5 points + rebounds + assists (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

J-Dub has been great since the All-Star break, averaging 27.4 points + rebounds + assists and hitting the Over on this prop in eight of 14 appearances. Williams is averaging 27.9 points on the road in 2023-24 compared to 26.9 at home. He’s hit the Over on this line in 31 of 62 games overall, good for 50%. The -104 odds here are appropriately priced, with an implied probability of 50.9%. 

Milwaukee allows the eighth-most points and the 13th-most rebounds on the campaign. The Bucks have given up the fifth-most assists across their last 10 affairs, and Williams is in a favorable matchup on Sunday. We’ll take the Over here and hope for a $9.62 profit on a $10 wager. 

Thunder-Bucks NBA player props made 3/24/24 at 10:25 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.