Spurs vs. Nuggets Player Props: Best NBA Prop Bet Picks for Black Friday

My best Spurs vs. Nuggets player props for tonight’s 9:30 p.m. ET game (Altitude Sports) at Ball Arena in Denver focus on Nikola Jokic, De’Aaron Fox, and Jamal Murray. The Nuggets are the 8.5-point favorites on Black Friday. 

Below, I highlight how the absence of Victor Wembanyama is impacting my NBA best bets, and why I expect Jokic and Murray to excel in at least one facet of tonight’s game.

✅ Spurs vs. Nuggets player prop bets for Black Friday

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

💰 Best Spurs vs. Nuggets player props

Search the best NBA player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Nikola Jokic player prop: Over 12.5 rebounds (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Spurs are allowing the fourth-fewest rebounds per game, but they look like a completely different team without Wembanyama. San Antonio has been outrebounded in three of five contests since his injury, giving up at least 11 rebounds to one player in each of those games.

Jokic enters this outing as the NBA’s second-leading rebounder. He’s pulled down at least 10 boards in nine consecutive matchups, topping 12.5 in four of those contests. Considering Jokic has pulled down 10-plus rebounds in all but three games this season, he enters what has suddenly become a solid matchup with a very high floor. 

FanDuel’s price of -118 implies a 54.13% chance that this Over hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.47.

We have you covered for Black Friday with more picks in our NBA player props today.

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⬆️ De’Aaron Fox player prop: Over 25.5 points (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

De'Aaron Fox has been completely taking over as the Spurs’ leading scorer since Wembanyama’s injury. He’s led the team in points during five consecutive games, scoring at least 26 in each contest. He’s now averaging 25.0 points per game, and 28.6 over his last five.

The Nuggets rank eighth in scoring defense, allowing just 113.8 points per game. But what gives me a lot of confidence in Fox tonight is how many shots he’s been putting up lately. He’s attempted at least 20 shots in four of his last six games, and 10-plus free throws in three consecutive contests. The Nuggets rank 10th in free throws allowed, but they’re still giving up 24.0 per game.

FanDuel’s price of -102 implies a 50.49% chance that this Over hits. A $10 bet would profit $9.80.

⬆️ Jamal Murray player prop: Over 6.5 assists (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Murray is second on the Nuggets while averaging 6.8 assists per game. He’s recorded at least eight in four consecutive contests, as Murray is averaging 7.4 assists in November.

The Spurs rank 12th leaguewide in assists allowed per game, giving up 26.1 per contest. However, they’ve allowed more than their average in three of the team's five games without Wembanyama and his 3.6 blocks per outing.

Murray is clicking with his teammates right now, and it’s surprising to see this price set at -110 through DraftKings, when it’s at least -127 at the other best sports betting sites. A $10 bet at DraftKings would profit $9.09. The price implies a 52.38% chance that Murray hits this Over.

🚀 Best Spurs vs. Nuggets SGP bets

📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Nuggets

• Date: Friday, Nov. 28
• Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
• TV: Altitude Sports