Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction for NBA Cup Final: Odds & Best Bets for Dec. 16
My Spurs vs. Knicks prediction for Tuesday's NBA Cup final takes advantage of a mispriced point spread.
The Knicks are a 2.5-point betting favorite over the Spurs, with tipoff from T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nev., slated for 8:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
🏀 Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: NBA Cup Final
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Spurs +2.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
My power ratings project the Knicks as a 1-point favorite on a neutral court.
While I’m open to downgrading the Spurs by a half-point since Victor Wembanyama may be on a minutes restriction, they haven’t played since Saturday, and Wembanyama posted a respectable stat line in that outing: 22 points, nine rebounds, and two blocks in just 21 minutes. The Spurs were undervalued in the semifinals, and they’re being undervalued once again in the final.
Spurs +2.5 (-110) at FanDuel is the best line available. These -110 odds carry an implied probability of 52.38%. A winning $10 ticket profits $9.09.
Score prediction: Spurs 114, Knicks 113
💰 Best Spurs vs. Knicks player prop
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De'Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
De’Aaron Fox has scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games. Over a larger sample, the Spurs guard has cashed this prop in 14 of his 17 games this season.
This line is lower than usual since Wembanyama and Stephon Castle will both play Tuesday; however, bet365's line of 19.5 points (Over: -120) appears to be an overreaction. Most of the best sports betting sites are lining Fox at 20.5 points with extra juice on the Over.
These -120 odds carry an implied probability of 54.55%, with a $10 winning bet profiting $8.33.
🏆 Who will win NBA Cup MVP?
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De'Aaron Fox (+500) ⭐⭐⭐
Fox is being undervalued to win NBA Cup MVP, as the market implies there’s over a 55% chance the Knicks will win on Tuesday
Not only should the Spurs receive more respect from the market, but all Spurs players (excluding Wembanyama, who is overvalued for this award) should be listed at shorter odds to win NBA Cup MVP. Fox represents the biggest discrepancy, as he has a strong chance of leading the Spurs in scoring on Tuesday.
His +500 odds at Caesars carry an implied probability of 16.67% - far too low - with a $10 winning ticket profiting $50.
🚀 Best Spurs vs. Knicks SGP
| Parlay bet | Odds (bet365) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Spurs +2.5 | -110 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| De'Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points | -120 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Karl-Anthony Towns 25+ points | +175 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Best SGP odds: +850 via bet365 ($10 to win $85)
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📊 Spurs vs. Knicks odds: NBA Cup Final betting lines
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🚑 Will Victor Wembanyama play in NBA Cup final?
While the Spurs have yet to release an official injury report for Tuesday's NBA Cup final - as of the time of publication - Wembanyama is expected to play, although it is unclear whether he will start.
He came off the bench in his return from injury during the Spurs' win over the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Saturday.
📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Knicks: NBA Cup Final
- Date: Tuesday, Dec. 16
- Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Paradise, Nev.)
- TV: Prime Video
❓ NBA Cup FAQs
Follow the latest NBA Cup odds to win the in-season tournament.
How does the NBA Cup format work?
All 30 teams were divided into five groups and competed in group play to determine which eight teams would advance to the knockout rounds (quarterfinals) and face off in a single-elimination tournament to crown the NBA Cup winner, with the San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks ultimately advancing to the final.
When is the NBA Cup final?
The NBA Cup final will be played on Tuesday, Dec. 16, between the San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks. The game will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with tipoff scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET.
What do the NBA Cup winners get in prize money?
The NBA Cup winner will share a prize pool determined by the league's collective bargaining agreement, with each player on the championship team expected to receive more than $500,000. The runners-up are expected to receive over $200,000 per player.
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