NBA Player Props Today: Best Prop Bets & Expert Picks for Wednesday

My NBA player props today navigate a tricky slate on the day before Thanksgiving. How motivated will players be today?

I try to answer that question with a balance of two Overs and two Unders, backing younger players like Jalen Duren and Kon Knueppel, while fading veterans Jimmy Butler and Devin Booker as part of my NBA best bets.

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⬆️ Jalen Duren player prop: Over 19.5 points (-101) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The leader in the latest NBA Most Improved Player odds should have a solid performance on Wednesday afternoon. Detroit Pistons center Jalen Duren is set up for success against a Boston Celtics team playing without 7-foot center Neemias Queta.

With Queta in the fold, the Celtics rank second in the league at defending the roll man on pick-and-rolls. However, he’s likely carrying that ranking. 

Boston is 25.7 points per 100 possessions worse defensively without him, per Cleaning the Glass. Opposing teams have a better effective field-goal percentage (plus-8.8%) and offensive rebound rate (plus-4.7%) when facing the Celtics without Queta.

Duren, who is averaging 20.3 points per game, should make the most of Wednesday’s matchup. At this -101 price tag, a $10 bet earns a profit of $9.90.

Our Philip Wood offers another Duren play as part of his best Pistons vs. Celtics player props.

⬆️ Kon Knueppel player prop: Over 16.5 points (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Charlotte Hornets rookie Kon Knueppel has been on a roll of late. He’s scored at least 24 points in four straight games and cleared this scoring prop in nine of his past 11 games.

Knueppel, who is averaging 19.4 points per game in his debut season, gets a favorable matchup against the New York Knicks on Wednesday. The Knicks rank 27th in the league in defensive 3-point rate, a metric that bodes well for Knueppel, who is averaging 3.7 triples per contest.

New York ranks 29th in defending spot-up 3-pointers, which is where Knueppel gets 31% of his scoring production. With this line being as high as 17.5 at the best sports betting sites, I like the -125 value on Over 16.5 points to win $8 on a $10 bet.

⬇️ Jimmy Butler player prop: Under 20.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Golden State Warriors forward Jimmy Butler averages 6.7 points from the free-throw line, according to PropsMadness, earning 26% of his scoring production from the charity stripe.

Unfortunately for Butler, the Houston Rockets rank third in defending without sending opposing players to the free-throw line. Houston surrenders the eighth-fewest free-throw attempts (23.6) per game.

Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points per game this year, has only cleared this scoring prop eight times in 17 contests this year. I like the Under, especially at BetMGM’s -105 bargain price tag.

⬇️ Devin Booker player prop: Under 7.5 assists (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Devin Booker is averaging 6.9 assists per game as the lead guard for the Phoenix Suns this season. But this line feels a touch too high on the night before the players go home for Thanksgiving with their families.

Booker has only cleared 7.5 assists in six of 18 games this season. He’s failed to surpass this mark in five of his previous six outings. Booker dished out three assists in his last meeting with the Sacramento Kings this year.

I’m willing to pay the standard -110 juice to win $9.09 on a $10 wager.

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