NBA Player Props for Christmas Day | Best Bets & Prop Picks
Last Updated: December 24, 2025 2:30 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My NBA player props for Christmas Day strike a balance between the old and the new for Thursday’s basketball slate.
LeBron James and Cooper Flagg are featured in my NBA best bets, as the former could be playing his final Christmas Day game while the latter will make his holiday debut. I also found betting angles for Peyton Watson and Chet Holmgren on my card.
🏀 NBA player props: Christmas Day
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James, F, Lakers | Over 19.5 points | -123 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Peyton Watson, F, Nuggets | Under 17.5 points + rebounds | -129 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Cooper Flagg, F, Mavericks | Over 9.5 rebounds + assists | -125 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Chet Holmgren, C, Thunder | Under 9.5 rebounds + assists | -122 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Best NBA player prop bet today
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LeBron James Over 19.5 points (-123) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
There is a chance that this is the final time LeBron James will play on Christmas Day. He has the most wins (11) of any player on this holiday, so don’t be surprised if he has more energy in what could be his final Christmas Day contest.
James has quietly found his footing after a rough start to the season. He’s scored 20-plus points in five of his previous six contests, averaging 26.8 points during that stretch.
This line is -155 at BetMGM, so I’ll grab DraftKings’ discount to win $8.13 on a $10 bet.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Want more NBA betting advice? Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Peyton Watson Under 17.5 points + rebounds (-129) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The market believes in a potentially increased role for Peyton Watson after Cameron Johnson suffered an injury on Tuesday. His points-and-rebounds combo line is trading at 17.5 after closing at 16.5 over the last two games.
However, Watson averages 4.3 fewer points and 2.2 fewer rebounds per 75 possessions when Johnson is off the court this year, per Databallr. He finished with 12 points and three rebounds in his lone game without Johnson, which came against the Timberwolves on Nov. 15.
At -129, a $10 bet earns a profit of $7.75.
Cooper Flagg Over 9.5 rebounds + assists (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Cooper Flagg gets a Christmas Day matchup in his rookie campaign. I have no doubts about his ability to deliver, especially since he comes in with great form.
Flagg’s all-around impact has been on full display of late. He’s cleared this combo line in five of his previous six contests. He finished with nine rebounds (18 rebound chances) and nine assists (14 potential dimes) in a win over the Nuggets on Tuesday.
The Warriors are a tough defensive matchup, but they rank 21st in rebounds allowed. Flagg can maintain his momentum.
Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 rebounds + assists (-122) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Once again, I’m on the Under for 9.5 rebounds + assists for Chet Holmgren against the Spurs. I recommended the same wager on Tuesday, when Holmgren finished with three rebounds and one assist in a loss in San Antonio.
Holmgren now has 10 total boards and one dime in two matchups against the Spurs, who are seventh in rebounds allowed and 15th in assists allowed. For the season, Holmgren has only cleared this combo line in 11 of his 25 contests.
I love this Under at FanDuel, winning $8.20 on a $10 wager.
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks today
💵 Best NBA parlay today
- LeBron James Over 19.5 points (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Peyton Watson Under 17.5 points + rebounds (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Cooper Flagg Over 9.5 rebounds + assists (-132) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +450 via FanDuel ($10 to win $45)
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Shane Thurston X social