Top NBA Parlay Picks for Monday: Can DeRozan Dominate A Tough Heat Team?

Monday's NBA parlay picks come with an intriguing ticket with odds of +510. Let’s just hope you’re willing to bet against DeMar DeRozan! Check out our NBA parlay picks.

After a Sunday full of road victories, including a couple of upsets, we’ll again target some teams taking some undeserved flak on the road.

The Minnesota Timberwolves head to Cleveland for a matchup against the guard-less Cavaliers, and the Sacramento Kings travel to Oklahoma City to play the banged-up and tanking Thunder. But, perhaps most interestingly, DeMar DeRozan and the Chicago Bulls go to Miami for a matchup against Jimmy Butler and the Heat.

Here are our top NBA parlay picks for Monday (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Monday's NBA Parlay Picks

DeMar DeRozan Under 29.5 points (+110) ???Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (-115) ????Sacramento Kings (-180) ????

SEE ALSO: NBA Player Futures: Award Favorites Following All-Star Break

NBA Parlay Predictions

DeRozan Under 29.5 points (+110)

DeRozan’s ridiculous nine-game streak with 35-plus points finally came to an end against the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday, and Monday's matchup could see him tumble back down to Earth even further.

Miami ranks sixth in defensive efficiency and allows just 104.8 points per 100 possessions. The Heat have gotten better of late, too, allowing only 103.1 over their last three games. They can credit their dominance to impenetrable interior defense; the Heat give up an NBA-low 40.1 points in the paint per game.

Though DeRozan has rightfully earned the reputation as an effective mid-range shooter, interior production is still an important part of his game. This year, 24.2% of his shots have come from within the paint. With his total set this high, neutralizing even a quarter of DeRozan’s game could keep him Under.

DeRozan couldn’t beat this total against the Heat earlier in the year, either. He scored 28 points in 40 minutes, as Chicago totaled just 104 points. Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler should limit him again Monday, so let’s capitalize on the books’ fear of DeRozan’s hot streak and ride the Under.

Check out our top-rated sportsbooks here

Timberwolves -3.5 (-115)

Basketball isn’t yet positionless, and the Cavaliers won’t have Darius Garland, Caris LeVert, or Rajon Rondo on Monday. That leaves them with Brandon Goodwin, Isaac Okoro, and Lamar Stevens at guard. They’ve even had to force Cedi Osman into the lineup as a shooting guard. Of those four players, only Goodwin is a traditional guard.

The Cavaliers have been in this situation before, and it hasn’t gone well. All three guards missed Cleveland’s last game against the Washington Wizards, and the team barely scraped by with a 92-86 win. Cleveland scored an atrocious 96.7 points per 100 possessions. In the game before that, which they played without LeVert and Garland but with Rondo, the Cavs lost to the Pistons, 106-103.

Cleveland faces a full-strength Minnesota squad on Monday, and the Timberwolves have been on the rise. They're 6-4 through their last 10 games, and they just took down the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday.

The sharps are all over Minnesota here because of Cleveland’s personnel issues. The Wolves have attracted 84% of the cash on just 61% of the tickets. Let’s trust the experts for the second leg of our NBA parlay picks.

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Kings (-180)

There are few things guaranteed to shorten your lifespan faster than betting on the Sacramento Kings. But we’ll do so anyway.

The Kings' front office believes the team can make a push for the play-in tournament, and with the way the Portland Trail Blazers and Los Angeles Lakers are collapsing, it might be right. The Kings play the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday, one of two teams in the Western Conference with a worse record. Oklahoma City won’t have a number of key personnel tonight, either. Josh Giddey and Lu Dort are injured, as are rotational pieces Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Mike Muscala, and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl. Those absences leave the Thunder with shorter rotations and, frankly, worse players. Of their remaining players, only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander boasts a positive rating, per RAPTOR.

Sacramento isn’t a great team, but it's better after the trade deadline - at least in the short term. It already beat the Thunder twice this season and should take care of business on the road Monday.

Combined Odds: DeRozan Under 29.5 points (+110) + Timberwolves -3.5 (-115) + Kings (-180) = +510

Where to Bet on NBA Parlay Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks for odds boosts:

FanDuel SportsbookCaesars SportsbookDraftKings SportsbookPointsBetBetMGM

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NBA parlay picks made 2/28/2022 at 10:10 a.m. ET.