Best Nuggets vs. Kings Player Props: NBA Prop Bet Picks for Nov. 11
My Nuggets vs. Kings player props project Nikola Jokic and DeMar DeRozan to have big games tonight, while fading Zach LaVine, as part of my NBA best bets.
The Nuggets are a 9-point betting favorite over the Kings, with tipoff from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif., set for 11 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock).
✅ Nuggets vs. Kings player prop bets
See all of our experts' NBA picks this week.
💵 Best Nuggets vs. Kings player prop bets
- Nikola Jokic player prop: Over 12.5 rebounds (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- DeMar DeRozan player prop: Over 19.5 points (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Zach LaVine player prop: Under 21.5 points (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Nuggets vs. Kings player props
⬆️ Nikola Jokic player prop: Over 12.5 rebounds (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jokic has recorded 13 or more rebounds in six of his nine games this season.
The three-time NBA Most Valuable Player is averaging 13 rebounds per game and is coming off a 14-rebound performance against the Indiana Pacers on Saturday. While Jokic grabbed just seven boards against the Kings in their Nov. 3 meeting, Sacramento has allowed the highest opponent defensive rebounding percentage in the NBA at 79.9%.
The +100 odds for Jokic to go Over 12.5 rebounds at DraftKings offer the best value. That price comes with an implied probability of 50%, and a winning $10 wager would profit $8.47.
Our Shane Jackson features another Jokic prop in his NBA player props tonight.
⬆️ DeMar DeRozan player prop: Over 19.5 points (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
DeRozan has scored 22 or more points in three of his five games in November, averaging 22.6 points per game during that span.
While he scored just 19 points against the Nuggets in their Nov. 3 meeting, he tied Russell Westbrook for a team-high 17 shot attempts. DeRozan has attempted 17 or more shots in four other games this season, and he cleared this total in each of them. Look for DeRozan to put up a similar number of shots tonight, which means he’ll likely score 21-plus points.
The -125 odds at BetMGM come with the leading value among the best sports betting sites. These odds hold an implied probability of 55.56%, and a winning $10 wager would translate to an $8 profit.
⬇️ Zach LaVine player prop: Under 21.5 points (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
LaVine has not cleared this total in two of his last three games, including a 15-point performance on 11 shot attempts against the Nuggets on Nov. 3.
The two-time All-Star has scored 21 or fewer points in four of his last five games against the Nuggets, dating back to the 2023-24 season. The market is also pessimistic about LaVine's scoring potential against Denver, as he is averaging 25.2 points per game this season but is listed at 20.5 points tonight on most of the best sports betting apps.
DraftKings' -120 odds for LaVine to go Under 21.5 points are the best available. That price carries an implied probability of 54.55%, and a winning $10 bet would profit $8.33.
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📺 How to watch Nuggets vs. Kings
- Date: Tuesday, Nov. 11
- Tipoff: 11 p.m. ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, Calif.)
- TV: NBC/Peacock
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