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Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks drives to the basket against Stephen Curry as we look at the best NBA player props & best bets for Knicks vs. Warriors
Jalen Brunson #11 of the New York Knicks drives to the basket against Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors at Madison Square Garden on February 29, 2024. Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images via AFP.

Jalen Brunson and the New York Knicks head to Chase Center looking to extend their three-game win streak with a victory over the Golden State Warriors, and our Knicks vs. Warriors NBA player props are based on the best NBA odds.

The No. 4 seed New York Knicks look to win their fourth on the bounce with a tough matchup against the Golden State Warriors. The No. 9 seed Warriors will hope their raucous home crowd will lead them to an important victory.

Golden State is just 17-17 straight up at home and 12-12 against Eastern Conference opponents. New York is 20-12 on the road and 13-12 against Western Conference opponents. Golden State beat New York 110-99 when the teams met at Madison Square Garden on Feb. 29.

Here are our best Knicks vs. Warriors NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Knicks vs. Warriors NBA player props: Monday

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Knicks vs. Warriors props

Stephen Curry 26.5 points (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Curry returned from a three-game absence and dropped 31 points in a win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. That’s the same amount of points he scored in his first meeting with New York on Feb. 29, which was was played at Madison Square Garden.

Curry is back home tonight, where he's averaged 28 points per game compared to just 25.9 on the road. 

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Curry has hit the Over in two of his last three and 32 of 60 appearances on the season overall. That’s good for 53.3%, and the implied probability of these -105 odds at bet365 is 51.22%.

We’re right on target with this line and the odds, and we’re even getting a little bit of value considering how well Curry has played at home. He’s scored at least 27 points in 19 of 31 games at home, good for 61.3%.

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Jalen Brunson Over 29.5 points (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Brunson has hit the Over on this line in 26 of 62 games this season, or 41.9%. Why do the odds on this one come in with an implied probability of 51.2%, and why should we take them?

Brunson is in the midst of a hot streak, scoring at least 30 points in four of his last eight games. That includes back-to-back 40 burgers on New York’s current road trip.

Brunson scored 27 points in his first matchup with the Warriors, but he’ll need just one more three-pointer to reach his target in tonight’s contest. The Dubs allow the 12th-most points to opponents overall (116.8) and the eighth-most at home (117.4). We’re banking on Brunson riding the hot hand and providing a third straight game with at least 30 points.

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Draymond Green Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Green has never been known as a prolific scorer, but he can rack up rebounds and assists with the best of them. This line, which moved from 20.5 to 21.5, is still low, so we’ll take advantage of the pricing and roll with the Over.

Green has hit the Over in 26 of 41 games this season, good for 63.4% of his games. The -112 odds offered here give an implied probability of just 52.83%, so we’re getting solid value at FanDuel.

Over his last nine games, Green has hit the Over on this prop six times while averaging 22.2 points + rebounds + assists. His season average is also 22.2, so he won’t need to do anything special to hit the Over on Monday. Green provided 23 points + rebounds + assists at New York earlier in the season, and his home/road splits are nearly identical. We can make this wager comfortably.

Knicks-Warriors NBA player props made Monday at 7:55 a.m. ET.

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