🏀 Knicks vs. Rockets Player Props Tonight: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 31)
📡 SBR Edge: Towns Crashes the Boards
My Knicks vs. Rockets player props tonight feature Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds (-130). He has cashed this prop in 12 of his 14 games in March. I wrap up my NBA best bets with Alperen Sengun Over 18.5 points (+104), as he has taken on a larger role in the offense lately, putting up 19 or more field-goal attempts in three of his last four games.
🏀 Best Knicks vs. Rockets player props tonight: NBA picks for March 31
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds | -130 via FanDuel | 1.95u -> 1.5u | Has gone Over in 12 of 14 games in March |
| Alperen Sengun Over 18.5 points | +104 via DraftKings | 1.44u -> 1.5u | Has attempted 19+ shots in 3 of last 4 games |
Total wagered: 3.39 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best Knicks vs. Rockets prop bet
The Knicks have the sixth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds (-130)
Towns going over his rebounds has been one of my safest bets this month, as he has cashed this in 12 of his 14 games in March. More recently, he has cashed this in six of his last seven, with the one outlier being an odd game in Charlotte when he played just 22 minutes.
He was given 34 minutes in his next game against the Thunder on Sunday and grabbed 18 rebounds with the extra playing time. Towns Over 10.5 rebounds is -130 at FanDuel, but I would play it up to -160 on the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More Knicks vs. Rockets prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Alperen Sengun Over 18.5 points (+104)
The Rockets are getting Sengun more involved in the offense as we head into the postseason. Sengun has attempted 19 or more shots in three of his last four games, scoring 30 or more points each time he does.
The Rockets went from having the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals in the preseason to now holding the 10th-shortest. They'll need Sengun to continue stepping up as a solid No. 2 option to make a playoff run. DraftKings lists Over 18.5 points at +104, but this bet is good up to -115 on the best NBA betting sites.
🏀 More NBA player props
I feature Luka Doncic and Bennedict Mathurin in my NBA player props tonight.
🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | Over 17.5 points | -115 |
| John Collins | Clippers | Over 12.5 points | -110 |
| Scoot Henderson | Trail Blazers | Under 4.5 first-quarter points | -110 |
| Kevin Durant | Rockets | Over 24.5 points | -130 |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | Over 13.5 points | -130 |
Towns Over 17.5 points (-115) being the most popular bet at BetMGM tonight isn't surprising, as the number is lower than his season average and he's a star player on one of the two most popular teams in the league (Lakers and Knicks).
Towns has scored 15 or fewer points in back-to-back games and has seen inconsistent minutes since December. The bet is Over 17.5 (-145) at BetMGM now; I would consider playing it Over 18.5 (+107 via DraftKings) instead, as that one point isn't worth 52 cents.
🚀 Knicks vs. Rockets same-game parlay
If you parlay Towns Over 10.5 rebounds with Rockets ML at bet365, it will pay +320. FanDuel, on the other hand, offers just +232 for the same parlay.
Bet365 is treating a Rockets win as if it would negatively affect Towns' stats, but the effect would be minimal with just a 1-point spread. Our LJ Blut, meanwhile, breaks down why he likes the Knicks with his NBA play of the day.
💵 Knicks vs. Rockets SGP picks
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 rebounds
- Rockets ML
Best odds: +320 via bet365 (0.63u -> 2u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 83-93-3 | -14.3 units ❌ | -6.9% ❌ |
| Player props | 78-77-3 | -15.56 units ❌ | -7.8% ❌ |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units ✅ | 87% ✅ |
| Parlays | 4-16 | -0.24 units ❌ | -3.9% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Knicks vs. Rockets
I'm allocating 3.39 units for this game, which is more than I would usually risk on two player props.
I'm confident that both of these bets are mispriced. If I thought I had a bigger edge, I would wager even more - up to 2.5 units per bet (or 5 units in a once-in-a-year scenario).
I treat 1 unit as 1 percent of my bankroll. While I'm coming off a bad week, my NBA betting typically has high highs and low lows, so I expect things to turn around before the regular season wraps up.
🚑 Knicks vs. Rockets injuries
📺 How to watch Knicks vs. Rockets
- Date: Tuesday, March 31
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
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