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Heat vs. Knicks Predictions, Picks & Odds: Can Miami Secure Series Victory in New York?

Check out our top predictions for Wednesday's Heat vs. Knicks based on the best NBA odds.

Shane Thurston

Last Updated: October 8, 2025 11:03 AM EDT • 4 minute read

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With the Eastern Conference semifinal matchup all but over, the Miami Heat will look to wrap up a series win on the road against the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Read on for our Heat vs. Knicks prediction based on the best NBA odds.

Despite being a No. 8 seed after winning the second Play-In Tournament game, the Miami Heat are just one victory away from their third trip to the conference finals in the last five years. The New York Knicks hope to avoid elimination by taking care of business at home as betting favorites.

For Wednesday's Game 5, we are turning to the player prop market to find our best bet ahead of tipoff.

Here is our best Heat vs. Knicks prediction (odds via FanDuel; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Heat vs. Knicks prediction

Bam Adebayo Over 11.5 rebounds + assists (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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The Heat have a chance to end this series on the road, but it won't come easy. The Knicks will likely put it all on the line in Game 5, meaning it will be up to Miami's key players to rise to the challenge in Madison Square Garden.

In this case, we are betting on big man Bam Adebayo instead of Jimmy Butler. Hopefully, that decision doesn't come back to bite us.

But Adebayo has performed well in this series, averaging 17.8 points per game to go along with 10.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists. For this particular prop, Adebayo is capable of clearing this mark on the glass alone. And he's done just that, recording 12 or more rebounds in back-to-back games.

Adebayo has finished Over this combo line of 11.5 rebounds and assists in three consecutive contests since recording eight rebounds and two assists in Game 1. He has multiple dimes in three of the four matchups, and has collected eight or more boards in all four outings.

This postseason, Adebayo has cleared this mark in seven of the 10 games while averaging 8.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists. This comes after he averaged 9.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game during the 2022-23 regular season.

Bet on the big man to continue playing well in a game where Miami has chance to punch its ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Heat vs. Knicks best odds

FanDuel (-102)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
Over 11.5 rebounds + assists	Over 11.5 rebounds + assists	Over 11.5 rebounds + assists	Over 11.5 rebounds + assists	Over 11.5 rebounds + assists
-110	-102	-110	-108	-105

All five of the best sportsbooks have set this line at 11.5, but this is a four-star pick because we got a plus-money price to bet on Adebayo's streak continuing. While this line has moved off the +102 value we got, we would recommend this prop at anything -110 or better.

NumberFire projects Adebayo to record 8.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists in Game 5, giving us a 10.6% edge on the Over at +102.

Alternatively, Butler's steal prop is always worth a look during the NBA playoffs. It is currently set at 1.5, with the Over juiced to -115 at DraftKings. Butler has cleared that mark in eight of his 10 games this postseason, which includes the Play-In Tournament. Butler has posted a hit rate of 74% on his steals prop over the last two playoff runs, according to props.cash.

Heat vs. Knicks odds

Check out our NBA Finals odds and NBA Finals MVP odds.

Heat vs. Knicks odds analysis

The markets haven't budged at the best NBA betting sites since open. The Knicks remain 3.5-point favorites while getting 71% of the money. The total has remained at 209.5, with 60% of bets on the Under.

For context, Miami has covered the spread in all four games of this series thus far. The total has alternated between Over and Under, with Game 4 finishing above the closing point total of 209.5 just two days ago.

Heat vs. Knicks game info

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Heat-Knicks prediction made 5/10/2023 at 11:35 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Shane Thurston

Shane Thurston has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Thurston cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses NFL experience, a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Thurston is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Thurston doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.