Clippers vs. Mavericks Picks, Predictions: Can Luka Stay Hot?
Both the Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks enter Tuesday’s matchup with a winning record. Who will emerge victorious in this Western Conference showdown? Read on for our Clippers-Mavs NBA picks and predictions.
It is way too early to care about the standings, but Tuesday’s battle between the Clippers and Mavericks could ultimately have implications in the Western Conference race.
The Clippers are 8-6 and have won six of their last eight games ahead of Tuesday's road test in Dallas. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are 7-5 overall but have dropped two of their previous three contests coming into this matchup.
Here are our Clippers-Mavericks NBA picks for Tuesday (odds via BetMGM and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Clippers vs. Mavericks Game Info
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 15, 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: BSSW, BSSC
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds
Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds Analysis
The Mavs opened as 5.5-point favorites, but the line has since moved to 7 across the board. The total has not been adjusted, staying firm at a low mark of 212.
Per the sportsbook consensus via Pregame.com, 70% of the spread handle is on the Clippers at the time of this writing. As for the total, 71% of bets are on the Over for Tuesday's matchup between the Clippers and Mavericks.
Clippers vs. Mavericks Picks
- Spread: Clippers +7.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
- Over/Under: Under 212.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
- Prop: Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points (-113 via FanDuel)
Clippers vs. Mavericks ATS Pick
Clippers +7.5 (-115) ★★★
Clippers guard John Wall is listed as TBD while forward Kawhi Leonard remains injured (knee), but this is still too many points for L.A. to be spotted in this particular matchup. The market was probably right to back the Mavs early, but 7.5 feels like the right time to buy back on the visitors.
Dallas hasn’t fared well against the spread, going 3-8-1 ATS on the season. The Mavericks actually haven’t covered a number since October 27, and they are typically bad as this big of a favorite with a 0-8-1 clip when laying at least 4 points so far this season.
The Clippers are only 6-8 ATS but typically play in lower-scoring games that are conducive to being in the mix. Forward Paul George is certainly capable of carrying the shorthanded Clippers to cover, averaging 24.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game on the year.
Clippers vs. Mavericks O/U Pick
Under 212.5 (-115) ★★★★
A big reason why we like the Clippers to cover is because this will likely be a defensive battle. It is pretty telling that the total has not budged on 212, despite being the lowest total on the slate. That’s the Clipper way.
Los Angeles has had 11 of its 14 games cash the Under, including when the final score finished below 212 in a battle with the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. The Clippers give up 107.1 points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. They are also 30th with an offensive average of 105.2 points per contest.
The Mavericks have gone 8-4 to the Over this year, but their style of play should lead to more Under tickets going forward. Dallas ranks 20th in the league with an average of 110.5 points per game, while also boasting a top-five defensive scoring average of 107.2 points per contest.
Clippers vs. Mavericks Prop Pick
Doncic Over 32.5 points (-113) ★★★★
Mavericks guard Luka Doncic has been unreal to start the season, leading the league in scoring with an average of 34.3 points per game on 49.6% shooting. He is coming off a 42-point performance in a win over the Portland Trail Blazers last time out.
Now Doncic faces a Clippers squad that he thrived against last year. Doncic averaged 40.7 points per game on a 43.3% usage rate in three games against the Clippers last season. He eclipsed the 45-point mark twice in the head-to-head matchups.
Back Luka to have another big night against a playoff rival.
Where to Bet on Clippers vs. Mavericks Picks
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Clippers-Mavericks picks made 11/15/2022 at 12:09 p.m. ET.
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