🏀 Celtics vs. Nuggets Player Props Today: Jokic & Brown Odds
Last Updated: February 25, 2026 4:20 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Two of the five favorites to win the NBA Finals this season meet today as the Boston Celtics host the Denver Nuggets. With Jaylen Brown returning for the Celtics after a one-game absence and Nikola Jokic trying to lift the underperforming Nuggets, we find the best value plays on the board for today’s matchup.
My Celtics vs. Nuggets player props today focus on Brown and Jokic as part of our NBA picks and best bets for Wednesday. The Nuggets are a 3.5-point betting favorite over the Celtics, with tipoff at Ball Arena in Denver set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN).
🏀 Best Celtics vs. Nuggets player props: NBA picks for Feb. 25
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown, G, Celtics | Over 5.5 rebounds (-155) | 1.55u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nikola Jokic, C, Nuggets | Over 12.5 rebounds (-118) | 1.18u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2.73 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Celtics vs. Nuggets prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 rebounds (-155)
Brown has become a more aggressive rebounder coming out of the All-Star break, grabbing eight or more boards in back-to-back games.
His median rebound total through seven February games is eight, and he should have plenty of opportunities to grab defensive boards today against the fifth-worst offensive rebounding team in the NBA. BetMGM lists Brown Over 5.5 rebounds at -155, but I would still consider playing it at any of the best sports betting sites up to Over 6.5 (-120 or greater).
Our LJ Blut fades the Celtics with his NBA play of the day.
🔥 More Celtics vs. Nuggets prop picks
The Nuggets and Celtics have the second- and fifth-shortest odds, respectively, to win the NBA Finals.
Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (-118)
Jokic is already the best rebounder in the NBA, but he has picked up his pace to make up for Aaron Gordon's absence. Jokic’s median rebound total is 14 across his last 10 games without Gordon.
He has cashed this prop in seven of his last eight games and is coming off a 20-rebound performance against the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. The best widely available odds are -118 at DraftKings, but I would still play this at -130 at any of the best NBA betting sites.
🏀 More Nikola Jokic props!
Our senior analyst, Dustin Saracini, backs Nikola Jokic to record a double-double with his NBA player props tonight.
💡 How I'm betting Celtics vs. Nuggets
My bankroll strategy defines one unit as 1% of the money I’ve set aside strictly for sports betting.
Each wager was placed to return 1 unit. I like these plays directionally, even if the odds aren’t wildly off. If the edges were more significant, I’d be comfortable increasing my stake to as much as 2.5 units per bet. For this matchup, I committed 2.73 units - enough to match my confidence level without taking on unnecessary risk given the modest advantages.
📊 Sports betting how-to: Bankroll management
Our LJ Blut breaks down the dos and don’ts of bankroll management.
🚑 Celtics vs. Nuggets injuries
🤑 Celtics vs. Nuggets betting splits
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Bet type | % of bets 🎟️ | % of handle 💰 |
|---|---|---|
| Celtics ML (+125) | 61% | 49% |
| Nuggets ML (-150) | 39% | 51% |
| Celtics +3.5 | 31% | 29% |
| Nuggets -3.5 | 69% | 71% |
| Over 229.5 | 56% | 25% |
| Under 229.5 | 44% | 75% |
The Nuggets moneyline accounts for 39% of bets and 51% of the handle, which shows that there is sharp money coming in on the Denver side.
The spread also has a 2% sharp money split, the betting splits make me like our Nuggets play even more.
-Per LJ Blut who broke down this game in his NBA Pick of the Day.
📺 How to watch Celtics vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, Feb. 25
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: ESPN
📈 My NBA picks: Win/loss record
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| 22-24-2 | +2.4 units ✅ | 4.9% ✅ |
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