🏀 NBA Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: Luka Doncic & Top Prop Picks for March 23
🎙️ SBR Intel: NBA player props (March 23)
After going 11-5 over the last two weeks, we're targeting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who should have his way against the Philadelphia 76ers. Elsewhere, it's easy to tail the hot hand of Luka Doncic and Victor Wembanyama - let's keep cashing on this fine Monday, shall we?
🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: March 23
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| ⛹️♂️ Player | 💰 Prop bet | 🧠 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder | 2+ made 3-pointers (+102 via FanDuel) | Depleted perimeter defense will give Shai the space he needs to cash this. |
| Luka Doncic, Lakers | Over 32.5 points (-106 via DraftKings) | Luka has scored at least 30 points in nine consecutive games. |
| Victor Wembanyama, Spurs | Over 26.5 points (-125 via FanDuel) | Wemby has become a volume shooter. Will have sky-high usage vs. Heat. |
Total wagered: 3 units (1 unit each) | Max profit: 2.76 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ made 3-pointers vs. 76ers (+102)
With Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid both out for the 76ers, SGA will be able to get to wherever he wants on the floor and will have plenty of opportunities from the perimeter against a team struggling to defend 3-pointers. The likely MVP is shooting 42% from beyond the arc this month, giving me plenty of confidence when firing up this plus-money play. I'd wager this up to -105.
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Spread: Thunder -15.5 (-115)
- How to watch Thunder vs. 76ers: NBC Sports Philadelphia (NBCS-PH) and FanDuel Sports Network Oklahoma (FDSOK)
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Luka Doncic Over 32.5 points vs. Pistons (-106)
Luka is on an absolute heater this month, scoring 36, 40, 60, and 33 across his last four games, averaging close to 40 points per contest in March. He's taken at least 25 shots in each of his last three games, and in a matchup that should be close wire-to-wire, you better believe he'll see a minimum of 38 minutes on the floor tonight. I'm all over Doncic as part of my best NBA player props today. Play this bet at our best NBA betting sites up to -115.
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Spread: Lakers -1.5 (-105)
- How to watch Lakers vs. Pistons: FDSDET, SportsNet LA, WMYD
Doncic points tracker
| Date | Opponent | Points | Result (vs 32.5 Line) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | @ Magic | 33 | ✅ OVER |
| Mar 19 | @ Heat | 60 | ✅ OVER |
| Mar 18 | @ Rockets | 40 | ✅ OVER |
| Mar 16 | @ Rockets | 36 | ✅ OVER |
| Mar 14 | vs. Nuggets | 30 | ❌ UNDER |
Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 points vs. Heat (-125)
While Miami is a strong defensive team, I'm putting my faith in Wemby to lead the Spurs to their 11th straight win in March. In close games, Wembanyama's usage rate spikes, averaging close to 35 minutes per game in contests decided by four points or less. Expect a tight one tonight, and for Wembanyama to score closer to 30 as a result.
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Spread: Spurs -5.5 (-105)
- How to watch Spurs vs. Heat: Peacock, FanDuel Sports Network
🏀 Victor Wembanyama player props tonight
Our Corey Scott backs Wembanyama to grab 13+ boards with his Spurs vs. Heat player props.
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks tonight
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- SGA 2+ made 3-pointers (+102)
- Doncic Over 32.5 points (-106)
- Wembanyama Over 26.5 points (-125)
Best odds: +607 via FanDuel (.2u -> 1.21u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 10
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Player props | 11-5 | +6.31 units ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-4 | +0.33 units ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I'm allocating three total units (one unit = $100) across three players, exposing an equal amount of my bankroll on each one. Monday's card is built around matchup edges I’ve identified, with all three bets looking to exploit defensive mismatches. While I usually don't expose more than a .5 unit on plus-money plays, the data support backing SGA tonight. However you like to play NBA player props, remember to keep your bankroll front of mind. Let's begin the week in style.
💰️ Bankroll management
LJ Blut breaks down his approach to bankroll management in sports betting.
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