🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Picks for Booker, Grimes & Doncic (March 21)
📡 SBR Intel: NBA Player Props Today
My NBA player props today feature Luka Doncic Under 3.5 three-pointers made (+121), as he's facing an above-average Magic perimeter defense. Devin Booker Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+128) is my next NBA top pick. He plays the Bucks, who are practically the polar opposite of the Magic at defending beyond the arc. I wrap up with Quentin Grimes Over 24.5 points (+150), as the Jazz own the worst defense in the NBA.
π Best NBA player props today: March 21
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Under 3.5 three-pointers made | +121 via DraftKings | 0.83u -> 1u | Magic allow 3rd-fewest 3-point attempts per game |
| Devin Booker Over 2.5 three-pointers made | +128 via FanDuel | 0.78u -> 1u | Bucks allow 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game |
| Quentin Grimes Over 24.5 points | +150 via BetMGM | 0.67u -> 1u | Jazz rank last in defensive efficiency |
Total wagered: 2.28 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet today
Luka Doncic has the second-shortest odds to win the NBA MVP award.
Luka Doncic Under 3.5 three-pointers made (+121) at Magic
I'm never afraid of a contrarian pick. I cashed on Bam Adebayo's Under after his controversial 83-point game, and now I'm fading Doncic after he scored 60 against the Heat. Doncic faces a Magic squad that allows the third-fewest 3-point attempts per game (33.8) in the NBA.
Doncic scored 100 points in 25 hours. I don't care if he's a top-two guard in the NBA; the fatigue should hit him today and affect his shooting from deep. DraftKings lists Doncic Under 3.5 three-pointers made at +121, but this bet is good up to +100 on the best sports betting sites.
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Spread: Lakers -3 (-112 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Lakers vs. Magic: NBA TV
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Devin Booker Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+128) vs. Bucks
I feel like I have a good read on tonight's Bucks-Suns matchup. The Bucks can't wait for the regular season to end, while Booker is on a mission to lead the Suns into the postseason. Milwaukee allows the third-most 3-point attempts per game (39.9) in the NBA. Meanwhile, Booker is attempting 7.1 three-pointers per game in March, up from 5.3 in February.
If Booker attempts eight or more 3-pointers tonight, it's likely that this bet cashes. Booker Over 2.5 three-pointers made is +128 at FanDuel, but I would play this up to +105 on the best NBA betting sites.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Suns -11.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Bucks vs. Suns: NBA TV
Devin Booker prop trends
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Bucks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 points | -104 via FanDuel | 4-1 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 4.5 rebounds | +117 via DraftKings | 2-3 β | 3-2 β |
| Over 5.5 assists | -131 via DraftKings | 1-4 β | 4-1 β |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers made | +128 via FanDuel | 1-4 β | 2-3 β |
I wouldn't put too much stock in Booker's recent matchups with the Bucks, as Giannis Antetokounmpo will be out tonight, which drastically changes the dynamic of this game.
Quentin Grimes Over 24.5 points (+150) at Jazz
I know VJ Edgecombe scored 38 points on Thursday, but Grimes has been the No. 1 option on Philadelphia lately. He has attempted 20 or more shots in three of his last four games, and now he gets to face a Jazz team ranked last in the NBA in defensive efficiency.
Grimes will be an unrestricted free agent this offseason, and facing the worst defense in the league is his best opportunity to audition for a new contract. BetMGM has Grimes Over 24.5 points at +150, but I would play this up to +125 on the best sports betting apps.
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: 76ers -6 (-108 via FanDuel)
- How to watch 76ers vs. Jazz: KJZZ-TV, NBC Sports Philadelphia
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 67-62-3 | +2.94 units β | 1.8% β |
| Player props | 65-53-3 | +3.09 units β | 2% β |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
| Parlays | 1-9 | -1.65 units β | -54.89% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today
Iβm putting 2.28 units on these plays, which is less than Iβd normally risk on three player props. I feel good about the general direction of the bets, though the lines arenβt far from where Iβd personally set them.
Tonight, I went with two Overs and an Under - not unusual, even though I tend to bet more Unders. The focus is on specific matchups: Doncic against the Magic, Booker vs. the Bucks, and Grimes visiting the Jazz.
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