🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets for Jokic, Tatum & Durant (March 20)
📡 SBR Intel: NBA Player Props Today
My NBA player props today feature Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 three-pointers (-168), as Memphis is among the worst perimeter defenses in the NBA. Kevin Durant Over 5.5 rebounds (-114) is my next best bet. He faces a Hawks team that struggles to grab offensive boards. I wrap up with Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points (-112), as he faces a Raptors team that is tough to score against, especially recently.
🏀 Best NBA player props today: March 20
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 three-pointers made | -168 via FanDuel | 1.68u -> 1u | Grizzlies allow 7th-most 3-point attempts in NBA |
| Kevin Durant Over 5.5 rebounds | -114 via FanDuel | 1.14u -> 1u | Hawks rank 7th-lowest in NBA in off. rebounding % |
| Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points | -112 via FanDuel | 1.12u -> 1u | Raptors rank 6th in NBA in defensive efficiency |
Total wagered: 3.94 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet today
The Celtics have the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-168) at Grizzlies
I love this matchup for Tatum tonight. The Grizzlies rank 20th in defensive efficiency in the NBA, and they especially struggle to defend the perimeter. Memphis allows the seventh-most 3-point attempts per game (38.6) in the NBA and has allowed 39.7 over its last three, so it’s not like it’s trending in the right direction.
Meanwhile, Tatum has attempted eight or more 3-pointers in each of his six games this season.
FanDuel lists Tatum Over 2.5 three-pointers made at -168, but this bet is good up to Over 3.5 (+125) on the best sports betting sites.
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Spread: Celtics -15.5 (-102 via DraftKings)
- How to watch Celtics vs. Grizzlies: FanDuel Sports Network Southeast, NBC Sports Boston
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Kevin Durant Over 5.5 rebounds (-114) vs. Hawks
I’m assuming we’ll see full effort from Durant tonight after losing back-to-back games to LeBron James and the Lakers. Durant now faces the Hawks, who rank seventh-worst in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage (23.8%).
The Hawks don’t crash the offensive glass, meaning Durant will have plenty of opportunities to grab defensive boards tonight, and he has cashed this prop in six of nine games in March. Durant Over 5.5 rebounds is -114 at FanDuel, but I would play this up to -135 on the best NBA betting sites.
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Spread: Rockets -3.5 (-112 via DraftKings)
- How to watch Hawks vs. Rockets: NBA TV
Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points (-112) vs. Raptors
I easily cashed this prop on Tuesday when Jokic finished with just eight points. Let's run it back. The Raptors rank sixth in the NBA in defensive efficiency and have held opponents to 115 or fewer points in three straight games.
Jakob Poeltl ranks eighth among starting centers in defensive rating over the last five games (min. four games played), and he should be able to slow Jokic down or, at the very least, turn him into a passer. FanDuel has Under 27.5 points at -112, but I would play this up to -130 on the best sports betting apps.
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Spread: Nuggets -6.5 (-118 via DraftKings)
- How to watch Raptors vs. Nuggets: Altitude 2 Sports, Sportsnet
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 66-60-3 | +4.76 units ✅ | 3.1% ✅ |
| Player props | 64-51-3 | +4.91 units ✅ | 3.3% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units ✅ | 87% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-9 | -1.65 units ❌ | -54.89% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props today
I’m putting 3.94 units on these plays, about what I’d normally risk on three player props. I feel good about the general direction of the bets, though the lines aren’t far from where I’d personally set them.
Tonight, I went with two Overs and an Under - not unusual, even though I tend to bet more Unders. The focus is on specific matchups: Tatum against the Grizzlies, Durant vs. the Hawks, and Jokic hosting the Raptors.
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