🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Fox, LeBron & Banchero Picks for Sunday, April 12

Our top NBA player props today feature De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points (-107), LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+100), and more.
San Antonio Spurs guard De'Aaron Fox (4), seen here looking on during a game, is featured in our NBA player props today.
Pictured: San Antonio Spurs guard De'Aaron Fox (4), seen here looking on during a game, is featured in our NBA player props today. Photo by Daniel Dunn / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Swipa Leads Spurs in Scoring

My NBA player props today feature Paolo Banchero Over 20.5 points (-119), as he has gone over this line in six of his last nine meetings with the Celtics. My next NBA best bet is De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points (-107). He will potentially be the Spurs' only player tonight who averages more than 14 PPG on the season. I wrap up my top picks with LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+100), as he has been cashing this prop with ease when playing without Luka Doncic.


πŸ€ Best NBA player props today: April 12

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick πŸ’‘ Best odds βš–οΈ Bet size 🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Paolo Banchero Over 20.5 points -119 via DraftKings 1.19u -> 1u Has gone Over in 6 of last 9 vs. BOS
De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points -107 via DraftKings 1.07u -> 1u Will potentially be only SA player with 14+ PPG
LeBron James Over 9.5 assists +100 via FanDuel 1u -> 1u Has recorded 10+ assists in last 7 games w/o Luka

Total wagered: 3.2 units | Max profit: 3 units


πŸ’° Best NBA player prop bet today

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Paolo Banchero Over 20.5 points (-119) at Celtics 

I’ve liked Banchero to go over on his points the last few times he’s played the Celtics, as he’s been super aggressive against Boston over the past couple of seasons.

He has gone over this number in six of his last nine meetings with the Celtics and is a strong candidate for a ladder bet, as he has scored 25+ in five of the last seven matchups. DraftKings lists his Over at 20.5 points (-119), but this bet is good up to -140 on the best sports betting sites.


πŸ”₯ More NBA player prop picks

The Spurs have the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 points (-107) vs. Nuggets

With Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle questionable for today, Fox will potentially be the only Spurs player active who averages more than 14 PPG on the season.

If Wembanyama is ruled out - which I believe is likely, as he has already reached the 65-game threshold in our NBA awards eligibility tracker - we will get great CLV on this bet. His Over is listed at 18.5 points (-107) at DraftKings, but I would play this up to -125 on the best NBA betting sites.

LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+100) vs. Jazz

James going Over on his assists when Doncic isn’t playing has been one of my favorite bets recently.

Doncic, James, and Austin Reaves lead the Lakers in assists per game this season, and James is the only one of the three who will potentially play today.

If James plays, this bet should cash fairly easily, as he has dished out 10+ assists in each of his last seven games when Doncic doesn’t play. FanDuel lists this at +100, but I would play it up to -115 on the best sports betting apps.


πŸš€ Best NBA parlay picks tonight

The Nuggets keeping this matchup close means Fox will play more minutes in the fourth quarter and have more opportunities to score. Bet365 lists this two-legger at +375, while this same parlay is just +212 at FanDuel.

💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight

  • De'Aaron Fox 20+ points
  • Nuggets +11

Best odds: +375 via bet365 (0.27u -> 1u)


πŸ’΅ My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 105-125-4 -19.04 units βŒ -7.3% βŒ
Player props 97-98-4 -20.53 units βŒ -8.2% βŒ
Parlays 7-27 -0.01 units βŒ -0.1% βŒ
Spreads 1-0 +1.5 units βœ… 87% βœ…

πŸ’‘ How I'm betting NBA player props tonight

I'm allocating 3.2 units for the bets in this article, which is what I would usually risk on three player props.

While I'm confident in all of these bets directionally, they aren't priced too far from where I'd set them. If I thought I had a larger edge, I would risk up to 2.5 units per bet - or up to 5 units in a once-in-a-year type scenario. I treat 1 unit as 1% of my bankroll.


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