NBA Player Props & Best Bets Today: Best Prop Picks for Thursday, Jan. 22
Last Updated: January 22, 2026 12:13 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Golden State Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga leads my NBA player props today as part of Thursday’s NBA best bets.
With Jimmy Butler out for the year, the Warriors have no choice but to turn to Kuminga to help replace his production. I expect the best sportsbooks to adjust to his markets in the coming days, so now is the time to take advantage of any potential discount.
🏀 NBA player props today: Jan. 22
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga, F, Warriors | Over 4.5 rebounds | -105 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Moussa Diabate, C, Hornets | Over 8.5 rebounds | -132 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| LeBron James, F, Lakers | Over 6.5 assists | -112 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| James Harden, G, Clippers | Under 27.5 points | -118 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Best NBA player prop today: Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) Over 4.5 rebounds (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Jonathan Kuminga should see an increased role with the Golden State Warriors losing Jimmy Butler for the year. My favorite angle is his rebound line, as Kuminga has averaged 6.8 rebounds and cleared this prop in all four games without Butler this season.
The Warriors have to play Kuminga more in hopes of helping replace Butler’s production or to increase his trade value in the coming days.
Kuminga has averaged 6.1 boards this year, clearing this line in 15 of 19 games. This line is too low on Thursday against a Dallas Mavericks team that ranks 27th in rebounds allowed.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Moussa Diabate (Hornets) Over 8.5 rebounds (-132) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
What if I told you that Charlotte Hornets center Moussa Diabate leads the league in rebound chances over the past month?
Since Dec. 22, Diabate is averaging 25.3 rebound chances and 10.8 boards per contest. He’s grabbed at least nine rebounds in nine of his 13 games over that span, which included a 12-rebound effort against the Orlando Magic on Dec. 26.
I’ll bet on a similar performance on Thursday, especially at DraftKings’ -132 value.
LeBron James (Lakers) Over 6.5 assists (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
LeBron has found a rhythm as a facilitator of late. He’s averaged 7.8 assists on 14.4 potential dimes over the past nine contests, clearing this line seven times during that stretch.
James’ assist prop has closed as high as 7.5 during this recent stretch without Austin Reaves. Until Reaves returns, I think James will continue to deliver as a passer. That’s probably why BetMGM charges -150 for the same ticket. Grab the -112 tag at bet365.
Our Dustin Saracini takes this one step further in his Lakers vs. Clippers player props, encouraging a play on 7.5 assists.
James Harden (Clippers) Under 27.5 points (-118) ⭐⭐⭐
Kawhi Leonard has been upgraded to questionable for tonight’s Clippers-Lakers matchup, suggesting he will return to action after more than a week away. If that’s the case, James Harden’s scoring line is too high.
In the 21 games with Leonard in the lineup, Harden is averaging 24 points and has only cleared this line eight times. While the Lakers have poor defense, they do a good job of not fouling because they never get close enough to guard anyone. Harden gets 24% of his scoring production from free throws.
🚀 NBA parlay picks
💵 Best NBA parlay today
- Jonathan Kuminga Over 4.5 rebounds (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds (-132) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- LeBron James Over 6.5 assists (-134) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- James Harden Under 26.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +1104 via DraftKings ($10 to win $110.40)
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Shane Thurston X social