🏀 NBA Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: Top Picks for Ant Man, Jokic, LeBron

We've got a fantastic nine-game slate to pick through tonight, and I've pinpointed three NBA player props today I absolutely love ahead of our first 7:00 p.m. ET tipoff. 

From Anthony Edwards, to Nikola Jokic, to LeBron James, there's no shortage of star power on the hardwood - let's dig in.

🏀 NBA player props: Feb. 20

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds. 

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.96 units

💰 Best NBA player prop: Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves, Under 28.5 points (-102)

Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

We're entering blowout territory in this one, with Anthony Edwards taking on the Dallas Mavericks without Cooper Flagg. In games won by 10 points or more, Edwards has gone Under this number in three of the last four in those situations, including a 14-point game in his most-recent 133-109 victory against the Trail Blazers. For what it's worth, the TWolves won by 13 against Dallas in late January, with Edwards pouring in just 20 points. We like what we see in these trends.

Our Corey Scott is on the other side with Ant Man, and he actually justifiys taking his over as part of his Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player props.

🔥 More NBA player prop picks 

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets, to record a triple-double (-120)

Jokic continues to pour in triple-doubles, so why would we walk away from this play if it keeps cashing? Prior to the break, Jokic recorded four straight triple-doubles, and is going up against a Trail Blazers team he should be able to have his way with. Jokic is going to want to bounce back after a subpar game from his standards yesterday, so we'll be riding him with confidence here.

LeBron James, Lakers, 8+ assists (+126)

LeBron has been on an absolute tear - averaging 10.5 assists over his last four games - and the Lakers are getting a major reinforcement tonight. Luka Doncic is returning from a hamstring injury, and Austin Reaves is finally off his minutes restriction.

In the few games this season where the "Big Three" (LeBron, Luka, and Reaves) have all been healthy, LeBron has tended to hover around that 7-8 assist range rather than the double-digit explosions we've seen recently. At +126, we're going to take that chance he ends up with eight tonight.

NBA Play of the Day

Here is LJ Blut's X video Play of the Day that features Nuggets ML.

The Denver Nuggets are positioned to win tonight against the Trail Blazers because of their offensive efficiency and depth. Denver thrives in half-court sets, where their ball movement and inside-out scoring create high-percentage looks. Their frontcourt advantage, led by Jokic, should control the glass and limit second-chance opportunities for Portland. The Nuggets are also one of the better road teams in the NBA, with a 20-10 record.

Defensively, the Nuggets can force tough perimeter shots and dictate the tempo. Expect Denver’s experience and late-game execution to seal the win comfortably.

If you want to read more about this pick, Denver Nuggets vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

💡 How I'm betting the NBA slate

Friday's card is built around matchup edges I’ve identified, with unit sizes adjusted based on where I see the strongest value. While I typically keep plus-money plays closer to 0.2 units, this is one of those spots where the data supports LeBron, which allows me to increase my bankroll exposure to a half-unit. All in, I’m risking about $125 - 2.5 total units, with my standard unit size set at $50.

If you're looking for the do's and don't of bankroll management, our LJ Blut has you covered.

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