Sun vs. Mercury Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, July 19
Last Updated: July 20, 2026 3:46 AM EDT • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
📡 SBR Edge: Sun Stay Hot
My Sun vs. Mercury prediction includes Sun +5 (-110) and DeWanna Bonner Under 9.5 points (-106). Connecticut is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games, while Bonner has gone under this line in four of her last six.
🏀 Sun vs. Mercury prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sun +5 (-110 via Caesars) | 2.2u → 2u | The Sun are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. |
| Under 165.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 0.55u → 0.5u | The Mercury have scored 83 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games. |
| DeWanna Bonner Under 9.5 points (-106 via FanDuel) | 1.59u → 1.5u | Bonner has scored 9 or fewer points in 4 of her 6 games in July. |
Total wagered: 4.34 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Mercury?
I like the Mercury to beat the Sun by three points today, meaning there's value in taking Connecticut as an underdog on the spread. While both teams are in the bottom six of the WNBA championship odds, the Mercury are the slightly better team, and they're also at home. While I'm not against taking Sun ML (+158 via Caesars), the spread is more likely to hit.
Score prediction: Mercury 83, Sun 80
💰 Sun vs. Mercury prediction & best bet
Sun +5 (-110)
These teams have been complete opposites lately, betting-wise. The Mercury have failed to cover in four of their last five games, while the Sun have covered in seven of their last eight.
Connecticut just beat Phoenix by 13 points in the opener of this two-game set, but that wasn't a fluke. The Sun have won five of their last eight games straight up, holding opponents to 83 or fewer points in three of those victories. Sun +5 (-110) at Caesars is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Mercury player prop bet
DeWanna Bonner Under 9.5 points (-106)
Bonner's Unders have been profitable lately. She has scored nine or fewer points in four of her six games in July, including an eight-point performance in the opener of this two-game set. She's shooting just 39.6% from the field in that span, including 18.5% from beyond the arc.
While the Sun are among the worst teams in the WNBA this season, they've been trending upward lately and have a strong chance of holding Bonner to single digits again today. Bonner Under 9.5 points (-106) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🚀 Sun vs. Mercury same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +377.
💵 Sun vs. Mercury SGP picks
- Sun +4.5
- Under 165.5
- DeWanna Bonner Under 9.5 points
Odds: +377 via DraftKings
📊 Live Sun vs. Mercury odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Mercury
- Date: Sunday, July 19
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: Disney+
Corey Scott X social