Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction for Game 4: WNBA Playoffs Odds & Expert Picks
Tipoff for Game 4 between the Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury is set for 8:00 p.m. ET (ESPN) on Sunday at PHX Arena, and my Lynx vs. Mercury prediction expects a challenging offensive environment.
My WNBA picks look to whether Lynx guard Kayla McBride will need to take on more offensive responsibility with Napheesa Collier uncertain to take the court due to injury, and I’m honing in on the Over on one of her player props.
📊 Lynx vs. Mercury odds: Game 4
Latest WNBA odds updated live in real time.
📺️ How to watch Game 4
When: Sunday, Sept. 28
Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
Where: PHX Arena (Phoenix)
TV: ESPN
🏀 Lynx vs. Mercury predictions: Game 4
WNBA expert picks for Game 4; odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Mercury (-180 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 156 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Kayla McBride Over 17.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Lynx vs. Mercury expert pick: Game 4
⬇️ Under 156 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
The two teams barely snuck past the total in Game 3, despite lighting up the scoreboard for 92 combined points in the first half.
With Collier uncertain to suit up after sustaining an injury in the late stages of Game 3, I wouldn’t be surprised if this total drops a few more points. I’m happy to grab it before that potentially occurs. The total for Game 3 was 158.5 or 159.5 at most of the best sports betting sites. I think Collier’s potential absence is worth more than two or three total points.
A winning $10 bet on the Under would provide a profit of $9.09. The -110 odds from bet365 have an implied probability of 52.38%.
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💰 Lynx vs. Mercury player prop bet: Game 4
🔥 Kayla McBride Over 17.5 points (-102) ⭐⭐⭐
McBride averaged 15.7 points during a seven-game stretch in the regular season where Collier was out of the lineup due to injury. However, she struggled with her shot, shooting just 38.6% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range. Those numbers were both off her regular-season averages of 41.6% and 39.5%, respectively.
I expect McBride and point guard Courtney Williams to lead the charge offensively if Collier is unable to take the court. A reasonably efficient shooting night should enable McBride to Over her points prop in Game 4.
A winning $10 wager on McBride’s Over will provide a $9.80 profit at FanDuel. The -102 odds have an implied probability of 53.05%.
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