Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: WNBA Best Bets for Aug. 30
My Liberty vs. Mercury prediction backs the Mercury as one of the league's best home teams all season, even if the Liberty pose a real threat. Phoenix is a 1.5-point betting favorite ahead of tipoff from PHX Arena in Phoenix at 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV)
My WNBA picks focus on New York's struggles on the road and expect the Mercury to take a 3-1 lead in the season series. With that in mind, Liberty star Breanna Stewart is starting to look like her usual self, and I think she'll do her part in stuffing the stat sheet tonight.
Start the night with early WNBA action by hitting on my Lynx vs. Sun prediction.
🏀 Liberty vs. Mercury expert picks & predictions
WNBA expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Mercury (-118 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Mercury -1 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 164 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Liberty vs. Mercury preview & best bet
☀️ Mercury -1 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Mercury have an excellent 13-6 record at home this season, while New York has stumbled to an 8-10 mark away from Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Phoenix picked up an easy 106-91 win when they hosted the Liberty back in June in a battle between two of the top WNBA championship odds contenders.
Both teams rank in the top five in pace in the league, which could lead to a lot of fast-break opportunities and easy buckets.
I expect Phoenix to come out with a heightened sense of urgency in a potential playoff preview as they try to take a big step toward securing the all-important home-court advantage for the first round. A $10 wager on the Mercury to cover the spread would net a $9.26 profit. The -108 odds have an implied probability of 51.92%.
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💰 Best Liberty vs. Mercury player prop bet
🔥 Breanna Stewart Over 16.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stewart has made two appearances since missing just over a month of action with a leg injury.
The two-time WNBA MVP has only averaged 22.5 minutes per game since returning, but it’s reasonable to expect that to ramp up in a game New York needs to win as it jockeys for playoff positioning. Stewart is averaging 19.3 points per game in three appearances against Phoenix this season.
I think Stewart is in a good position to have a big scoring night in a game that features two of the league’s better offenses. A $10 wager nets out a profit of $9.52 at FanDuel. The -105 odds have an implied probability of 51.22%
📊 Liberty vs. Mercury odds: Aug. 30
WNBA odds update live in real time.
📈 Liberty vs. Mercury betting odds analysis
The Mercury opened as a 1-point home favorite. With a handful of Liberty players uncertain to play, this spread could still move in a handful of different directions. Despite the uncertainty, I like the opportunity to back a strong home team with a lot left to play for this season.
🔢 Liberty vs. Mercury stats
Season stats courtesy of WNBA.com.
| Liberty (24-15) | Statistic (per game) | Mercury (24-14) |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9 | Net rating | 3.8 |
| 106.5 | Offensive rating | 103.7 |
| 100.7 | Defensive rating | 99.9 |
| 85.7 | Points | 83.2 |
| 81 | Points allowed | 80.1 |
| 33.8 | Rebounds | 34.7 |
| 22 | Assists | 20.8 |
| 13.8 | Turnovers | 13.7 |
| 45.5% | FG% | 43.3% |
| 35.8% | 3PT% | 33.5% |
🚑 Liberty vs. Mercury injuries
📺 Liberty vs. Mercury game info
- When: Saturday, Aug. 30
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix
- How to watch: NBA TV
💡 Expert WNBA predictions today
- Lynx vs. Sun prediction
- Liberty vs. Mercury prediction
❓ Liberty vs. Mercury FAQs
Who is favored to win Liberty vs. Mercury?
The Mercury are a 1-point favorite against the Liberty on Saturday at PHX Arena.
What is the Over/Under for Liberty vs. Mercury?
The total for Saturday’s game between the Liberty and Mercury is 164.
What are the best bets for Liberty vs. Mercury?
The best bets for Saturday’s game between the Liberty and Mercury are Phoenix -1 and Breanna Stewart Over 16.5 points.
When is the Liberty vs. Mercury game?
Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET on Saturday at PHX Arena.
How do WNBA odds work?
When betting on the WNBA, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -5.5 must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +5.5 must win outright or lose by 5 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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