Fever vs. Aces Prediction for Game 5: WNBA Playoffs Odds & Expert Picks

Last Updated: September 29, 2025 2:14 PM EDT • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link

The Las Vegas Aces have been a completely different team on home court all season long, which I’m expecting to continue as I make my Fever vs. Aces prediction. Tipoff for Game 5 is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday night at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas (ESPN).
For my WNBA picks, Aces superstar A’ja Wilson will need to be ultra-aggressive on the offensive end if Las Vegas wants to advance, and I’m targeting the Over on one of her player props in a win-or-go-home situation.
📊 Fever vs. Aces odds: Game 5
Latest WNBA odds updated live in real time.
🏀 Fever vs. Aces predictions: Game 5
WNBA expert picks for Game 5; odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Aces (-350 via Caesars) ⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 158.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: A’ja Over 25.5 points (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
📺️ How to watch Game 5
When: Tuesday, Sept. 30
Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)
TV: ESPN2
✅ Fever vs. Aces expert pick: Game 5
♠️ Aces 1H -4.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
The Aces are 3-1 on home court in the postseason, and have led by an average of 12.6 points at halftime in those three victories. The Fever are 2-2 on the road so far in the postseason, shooting considerably worse from 3-point range than on home court.
Indiana shot 34 free throws to Las Vegas’ 11 in Game 4 and handily won the rebounding battle. I don’t expect the disparity to be as severe in Game 5 with the Aces back on their home floor.
A winning $10 bet on the Aces -4.5 in the first half would provide a profit of $9.09. The -110 odds from one of the best sports betting apps, Caesars, have an implied probability of 52.38%.
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💰 Fever vs. Aces player prop bet: Game 5
🔥 A’ja Wilson, C, Aces: Over 25.5 points (-106) ⭐⭐⭐
Wilson is averaging just over 21 points in the first four games of the series. However, she missed 30 of her 42 field-goal attempts in Games 1 and 3. In Games 2 and 4, she averaged 28 points on 57% shooting.
The MVP elevated her game in a decisive Game 5 in the first round against Seattle, pouring in 38 points on 53.8% shooting from the field and an impressive 90.9% on her 11 free-throw attempts.
A winning $10 wager on Wilson’s Over will provide a $9.43 profit at FanDuel. The -106 odds have an implied probability of 51.46%.
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Josh Goldberg X social