2024 Wimbledon Expert Picks & Odds: Winner Predictions & Tournament Props

Following Carlos Alcaraz’s and Iga Swiatek’s victories at the French Open, the third major of the season gets underway at the All England Lawn Tennis Club, as we offer our Wimbledon expert picks based on the odds from our best sports betting sites.

Last year, Carlos Alcaraz won his second title at the All England Club. In the process, he denied Novak Djokovic two things: a shot at the calendar Grand Slam and an eighth Wimbledon title, which would have tied him with Roger Federer for the most all-time on the men's side.

A year later, Alcaraz is coming off his first French Open title to become the youngest male to win a major on all three playing surfaces. Meanwhile, Djokovic's participation in the event is in question just weeks removed from knee surgery, and world No. 1 Jannik Sinner has the shortest odds in search of his second Grand Slam and first Wimbledon title.

Marketa Vondrousova, this year's No. 6 seed, became the first unseeded player to win the women's title at Wimbledon last year as a 100/1 long shot. We haven't seen a women win consecutive Grand Slams since Naomi Osaka won the 2020 US Open and the 2021 Australian Open, and it hasn't happened in the same calendar year since Serena Williams won the first three majors of 2015.

Wimbledon expert picks 2024

Odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

• Men’s winner: Carlos Alcaraz (+250 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Women’s winner: Coco Gauff (+750 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Hubert Hurkacz to win the fourth quarter (+350 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Total men's matches to go to five sets Under 26.5 (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Wimbledon men’s winner

Carlos Alcaraz ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wimbledon, much like the French Open with Rafael Nadal’s dominance, tends to be an event that can be won by the same players year after year. And with a clear top three on the odds leaderboard on the men’s side, Alcaraz is our pick to be a repeat champion.

Alcaraz has already done something that greats like Pete Sampras, John McEnroe, and Ivan Lendl have never done: win a major on all three surfaces. Furthermore, he is one of only seven men ever to win their first three Grand Slam finals.

While just two of Alcaraz’s 14 tour-level titles have come on grass, there is too much concern surrounding Djokovic’ - whom Alcaraz beat in last year's final - after his recent knee surgery to believe he will hold up for seven matches.

The winner of an Alcaraz-Sinner semifinal would likely be a huge favorite in the final, but we are making Alcaraz a four-star play to win Wimbledon largely because of the various landmines Sinner will face in his quarterfinal (Daniil Medvedev, Matteo Berrettini, Grigor Dimitrov, to name a few).

We are getting the best value for this play at bet365, which is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering better than +230 odds.

Best odds: +250 via bet365

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Wimbledon women’s winner

Coco Gauff ⭐⭐⭐

Gauff is looking for the ultimate redemption, seeking a Wimbledon title after losing in the first round last year to Sofia Kenin. She has never reached the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, but anyone who can reach the fourth round as a mere 15-year old is someone clearly comfortable on grass.

Gauff has a favorable quarterfinal draw, with her stiffest competition likely to come from a trio of American women in Emma Navarro, Peyton Stearns, and Madison Keys. She is a proven force in Grand Slams, reaching the semifinals of both the Australian Open and French Open this year, and is the only man or woman to reach the semifinals of the previous three majors dating back to last year.

We have even more confidence in backing Gauff based on the odds for a prop offered at DraftKings, where the “Big Three” of Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek, and Elena Rybakina have -120 odds to win the title, while “the field” has -110 odds. In addition, DraftKings is offering +300 odds for an American woman to win Wimbledon, and Gauff is the strongest one in the field.

Three of our other best live betting sites have Gauff at +700 to win Wimbledon, so FanDuel is our preferred sportsbook for this wager at these +750 odds, which pay out $75 on a $10 wager per our odds converter.

Best odds: +750 via FanDuel

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Wimbledon prop picks

Hubert Hurkacz to win the fourth quarter ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Grass is a surface that can be dominated by big servers who do not want to get caught in long baseline rallies, and few in the men’s draw have a serve bigger than Hurkacz.

We have identified Djokovic as the target of the top three men to fade, and while Djokovic owns a 7-0 head-to-head edge against the Pole, Hurkacz has made Djokovic work. The two met in the Round of 16 at last year’s Wimbledon, and two of Djokovic’s three set wins were 8-6 in tiebreaks.

Djokovic only broke Hurkacz’s serve once in that match, and the Pole served 33 aces in four sets and won 81% of his first-serve points - numbers that are unheard of against a returner as good as Djokovic.

This is a four-star play, as we were encouraged by Hurkacz’s run to the final of Halle last week. In that final, he pushed the world no. 1 in Sinner to a tiebreak in each of the two sets. We expect more of those tiebreakers - which he should be in frequently - to go his way this week while not allowing many easy points in his service games.

Best odds: +350 via BetMGM

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Total men's matches to go to five sets Under 26.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With 128 players in the men’s draw, there will be 127 matches played over the next two weeks, and 21.3% of those would have to go the distance to cash this Over. Last year, while there were five-sets matches in every round - including one in the semifinals and the final - there were just 20 five-set matches total with 10 in the first round.

Weather is always tricky with the constant rains in England, and several players are likely to have their match schedules altered while being forced to play on consecutive days. Those instances make it less likely to see long five-set matches, and adding in the inevitable retirements we are likely to see, it is too much to ask for 27 matches to go all five sets.

This wager is exclusive to DraftKings and can be found under the “Tournament Totals” section. These -125 odds represent an implied probability of 55.56% and would pay out $8 on a winning $10 bet.

Best odds: -125 via DraftKings

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Wimbledon expert picks made Friday at 9:18 p.m. ET.

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